Aaron Sabato

MIN · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 21, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 26 · 3:10 PM CTvs TBD TEX @ MIN1+ hit 55.6%2+ TB 30.3%HR 9.2%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand

Aaron Sabato · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	1	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.182	50.0%	0.0%	20.0%	95.6	95.6	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%
Last 15 G	1	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.182	50.0%	0.0%	20.0%	95.6	95.6	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%
Last 30 G	1	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.182	50.0%	0.0%	20.0%	95.6	95.6	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%
90 days	1	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.182	50.0%	0.0%	20.0%	95.6	95.6	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 1 balls in play

Ground 0%Line drive 0%Fly ball 100%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	2	3	.000	.000	.000	.000	.092	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%	90.6	97.0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%
Last 15 G	2	3	.000	.000	.000	.000	.092	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%	90.6	97.0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%
Last 30 G	2	3	.000	.000	.000	.000	.092	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%	90.6	97.0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%
90 days	2	3	.000	.000	.000	.000	.092	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%	90.6	97.0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 2 balls in play

Ground 100%Line drive 0%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	2	5	.000	.000	.000	.000	.128	40.0%	0.0%	16.7%	92.2	97.0	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Last 15 G	2	5	.000	.000	.000	.000	.128	40.0%	0.0%	16.7%	92.2	97.0	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Last 30 G	2	5	.000	.000	.000	.000	.128	40.0%	0.0%	16.7%	92.2	97.0	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
90 days	2	5	.000	.000	.000	.000	.128	40.0%	0.0%	16.7%	92.2	97.0	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 3 balls in play

Ground 67%Line drive 0%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 0%

Recent contact

Last 3 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 23	LHP	Changeup	85.8	97.0	-11	.171	Out
Sep 21	LHP	Curveball	82.4	84.1	-8	.105	Double play
Sep 21	RHP	Fastball	94.1	95.6	26	.363	Out

Total bases, last 2 games★ home run

021

023

Last 2 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	HR	BB	K
Sep 23	2	0	0	0	0	1
Sep 21	3	0	0	0	0	1

FormNormal

Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA

Last 100 pitches–

wOBA / xwOBA.004 / .119running 115 points behind his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit0/2

2+ total bases0/2

Home run0/2

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent

Talent grade—— type

wOBA–

Barrel%–

Hard-hit%–

K%–

BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Aaron Sabato · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled

Hits in 0 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games

Games with a hit0 of 2BTB expected 1.1

Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.6

Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2

Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.
Date	Facing	1+ hit	2+ TB	HR	PA	H	TB	HR
Sep 23	Cesar Perdomo	56.7%	30.0%	9.7%	2	0	0	0
Sep 21	Blade Tidwell	52.6%	31.7%	8.7%	3	0	0	0