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Andrés Chaparro

WSH · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Andrés Chaparro · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.286.375.286.312.22537.5%12.5%47.4%84.8100.60.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G922.211.318.211.300.25027.3%13.6%45.5%86.9100.60.0%23.1%30.8%
Last 30 G2061.259.344.407.349.29821.3%9.8%32.3%88.7109.19.8%34.1%29.3%
90 days3075.299.373.537.404.31422.7%8.0%32.5%88.0109.112.0%36.0%34.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 50 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 24%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 22%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.167.375.167.288.29612.5%25.0%15.4%94.2104.40.0%60.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1326.333.385.667.442.29526.9%7.7%31.4%92.6109.011.8%47.1%29.4%
Last 30 G2139.343.410.686.460.32328.2%10.3%31.9%91.9111.216.7%45.8%33.3%
90 days4795.277.368.602.419.36024.2%10.5%31.1%90.9111.213.3%50.0%26.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 13%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.231.375.231.300.26125.0%18.8%34.4%90.0104.40.0%44.4%33.3%
Last 15 G1548.279.354.465.377.27427.1%10.4%37.9%90.1109.06.7%36.7%30.0%
Last 30 G30100.292.370.517.392.30824.0%10.0%32.2%89.9111.212.3%38.5%30.8%
90 days58170.287.371.573.412.33923.5%9.4%31.8%89.6111.212.7%43.6%30.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 110 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 18%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 17%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSinker91.9104.40.429Single
Sep 23LHPSinker93.899.6-19.122Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.7100.622.675Single
Sep 22RHPFastball95.494.535.207Out
Sep 20LHPFastball93.898.640.151Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup82.977.33.108Out
Sep 19RHPSweeper82.785.531.047Out
Sep 19LHPFastball94.191.225.165Out
Sep 19RHPSweeper84.458.4-54.174Single
Sep 15LHPSinker94.6106.9291.927Home run
Sep 15LHPSinker94.8109.017.791Double
Sep 15LHPSinker95.789.044.003Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411002
Sep 22411002
Sep 20300010
Sep 19411010
Sep 16100010
Sep 15326100
Sep 13511011
Sep 12211000
Sep 11300002
Sep 9400002
FormCold
Contact rating85Excellent
Last 100 pitches89steady
wOBA / xwOBA.414 / .358running 56 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCPower type
wOBA.340
Barrel%7.2%
Hard-hit%27.0%
K%24.3%
BB%8.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Andrés Chaparro · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Andrés Chaparro · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Michael McGreevy: 52.8% · 1 HSep 20 vs Quinn Mathews: 54.7% · no hitSep 22 vs Drew Anderson: 53.5% · 1 HSep 25 vs TBD: 60.8% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 1.6
Games with 2+ TB0 of 3BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeCwOBA .340 · K% 24.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25TBD60.8%38.1%15.0%not settled
Sep 22Drew Anderson53.5%37.0%13.3%4110
Sep 20Quinn Mathews54.7%38.0%11.7%3000
Sep 19Michael McGreevy52.8%33.1%10.6%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.