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Austin Riley
ATL · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handAustin Riley · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 15 | .231 | .267 | .462 | .300 | .414 | 26.7% | 6.7% | 34.8% | 88.9 | 108.4 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 42 | .222 | .310 | .389 | .307 | .330 | 33.3% | 11.9% | 26.9% | 89.6 | 109.8 | 13.0% | 30.4% | 43.5% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 86 | .247 | .302 | .403 | .306 | .326 | 30.2% | 8.1% | 26.0% | 91.7 | 111.0 | 13.2% | 35.8% | 43.4% |
| 90 days | 74 | 225 | .237 | .284 | .411 | .301 | .299 | 34.7% | 6.2% | 28.7% | 90.8 | 111.4 | 12.9% | 41.7% | 39.4% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 132 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 27%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 14%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 5 | .400 | .400 | 1.000 | .580 | .564 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 98.0 | 106.1 | 50.0% | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 15 | .214 | .267 | .429 | .300 | .281 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 88.2 | 106.1 | 22.2% | 44.4% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 16 | 28 | .200 | .286 | .360 | .287 | .241 | 35.7% | 7.1% | 26.3% | 88.6 | 106.3 | 13.3% | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| 90 days | 36 | 68 | .220 | .324 | .356 | .307 | .330 | 33.8% | 7.4% | 26.4% | 94.2 | 112.2 | 16.7% | 47.2% | 38.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 28%Line drive 28%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 14%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .278 | .300 | .611 | .370 | .451 | 25.0% | 5.0% | 30.0% | 91.5 | 108.4 | 28.6% | 35.7% | 57.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 57 | .220 | .298 | .400 | .305 | .317 | 33.3% | 8.8% | 25.5% | 89.2 | 109.8 | 15.6% | 34.4% | 40.6% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 114 | .235 | .298 | .392 | .302 | .305 | 31.6% | 7.9% | 26.1% | 91.0 | 111.0 | 13.2% | 35.3% | 42.6% |
| 90 days | 76 | 293 | .233 | .294 | .398 | .302 | .306 | 34.5% | 6.5% | 28.2% | 91.6 | 112.2 | 13.7% | 42.9% | 39.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 168 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 14%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 86.0 | 106.4 | 29 | 1.839 | Home run |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 89.9 | 85.1 | 34 | .020 | Sac fly |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sweeper | 83.8 | 94.5 | 1 | .395 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 91.1 | 104.3 | 29 | 1.539 | Home run |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 92.0 | 104.2 | 4 | .519 | Single |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Cutter | 91.1 | 106.1 | 18 | .673 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Cutter | 90.7 | 77.3 | -7 | .089 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 94.5 | 90.2 | 28 | .074 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sweeper | 83.1 | 81.4 | 14 | .751 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 92.6 | 89.7 | -33 | .041 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sweeper | 82.9 | 72.3 | 56 | .085 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sweeper | 85.6 | 89.1 | 15 | .912 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
FormNormal
Contact rating56Average
Last 100 pitches96trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.307 / .324running 16 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run3/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA42.306
Avg EV9091.6
Max EV82112.2
Barrel%9413.7%
Hard-hit%7042.9%
Sweet-spot%8139.3%
K%434.5%
BB%276.5%
Whiff%1528.2%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
5 settled gamesGames with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 2.6
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR2 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Eury Pérez | 53.0% | 30.2% | 12.1% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Brady Singer | 56.4% | 29.6% | 14.1% | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | Andrew Abbott | 60.0% | 36.6% | 15.5% | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | Brandon Williamson | 52.1% | 34.5% | 14.6% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Hayden Wesneski | 49.2% | 32.2% | 12.6% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Peter Lambert | 45.2% | 23.4% | 11.6% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |