← All players

Brandon Lowe

PIT · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Brandon Lowe · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G59.250.333.625.400.39311.1%11.1%26.1%87.2103.714.3%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1539.364.462.667.478.42920.5%15.4%31.4%91.4107.412.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2979.318.430.576.435.37121.5%16.5%31.0%90.8107.46.1%40.8%38.8%
90 days64199.290.367.511.382.35127.6%11.1%31.6%92.8111.010.7%47.1%38.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 121 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 25%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.364.417.636.450.60333.3%8.3%41.7%95.5110.942.9%71.4%57.1%
Last 15 G1424.318.375.591.413.41633.3%4.2%39.5%90.4110.928.6%57.1%35.7%
Last 30 G2546.262.326.524.383.33239.1%6.5%37.8%89.4110.925.0%50.0%29.2%
90 days55113.260.301.413.318.25741.6%5.3%39.9%88.8110.915.3%42.4%32.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 15%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.316.381.632.429.51323.8%9.5%34.0%91.3110.928.6%57.1%42.9%
Last 15 G1563.345.429.636.453.42425.4%11.1%34.1%91.0110.917.9%46.2%38.5%
Last 30 G30125.296.392.556.415.35628.0%12.8%33.3%90.3110.912.3%43.8%35.6%
90 days72312.279.343.475.358.31732.7%9.0%34.5%91.5111.012.2%45.6%36.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 180 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 22%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball96.468.713.295Single
Sep 23LHPCurveball78.896.310.648Single
Sep 23LHPFastball93.8108.4292.000Home run
Sep 23RHPChangeup88.687.0-12.140Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball79.464.01.075Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.3102.841.408Out
Sep 22LHPSinker90.7105.3281.789Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.8102.9-5.331Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup82.081.174.000Out
Sep 20LHPSinker92.292.9-29.059Single
Sep 20LHPSlider87.053.1-68.204Out
Sep 19LHPSinker92.9101.5-4.346Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411012
Sep 23425101
Sep 22400000
Sep 20511011
Sep 19425101
Sep 18514102
Sep 17412011
Sep 16425111
Sep 15514102
Sep 13211001
FormHot
Contact rating57Average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.359 / .325running 34 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run5/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.352
Barrel%6.7%
Hard-hit%26.2%
K%31.8%
BB%8.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Brandon Lowe · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Brandon Lowe · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 64.3% · 1 HSep 19 vs Noah Cameron: 59.1% · 2 HSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 66.5% · 1 HSep 22 vs Andre Pallante: 65.3% · no hitSep 23 vs Matthew Liberatore: 62.7% · 2 HSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 62.6% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 61.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 3.8
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR3 of 6BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .352 · K% 31.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe61.9%37.1%16.6%not settled
Sep 24Kyle Leahy62.6%31.4%14.0%4110
Sep 23Matthew Liberatore62.7%30.9%11.7%4251
Sep 22Andre Pallante65.3%35.9%12.6%4000
Sep 20Michael Wacha66.5%43.2%14.9%5110
Sep 19Noah Cameron59.1%29.5%9.6%4251
Sep 18Randy Dobnak64.3%33.7%11.6%5141
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.