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Brandon Marsh

PHI · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Brandon Marsh · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.222.300.556.360.35950.0%10.0%35.0%93.8105.825.0%75.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1534.188.212.312.235.25626.5%2.9%24.6%86.9105.88.3%37.5%37.5%
Last 30 G3071.197.243.273.236.25123.9%5.6%20.0%87.9105.86.0%32.0%38.0%
90 days72214.200.263.303.259.28921.0%7.9%19.6%88.7105.86.6%40.8%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 24%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G13.333.333.667.417.26733.3%0.0%33.3%98.6100.10.0%100.0%50.0%
Last 15 G25.200.200.400.250.18340.0%0.0%18.2%91.5100.10.0%66.7%33.3%
Last 30 G710.200.200.300.215.15130.0%0.0%23.8%81.5100.10.0%28.6%14.3%
90 days2643.150.190.250.201.21044.2%4.7%36.6%79.3104.513.6%27.3%31.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 22 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 23%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.250.308.583.373.33846.2%7.7%34.8%95.4105.816.7%83.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1539.189.211.324.237.24728.2%2.6%23.7%87.4105.87.4%40.7%37.0%
Last 30 G3081.197.238.276.233.23924.7%4.9%20.5%87.2105.85.3%31.6%35.1%
90 days73257.191.251.294.249.27624.9%7.4%22.4%87.5105.87.5%39.1%36.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 174 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 24%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball97.163.0-62.260Out
Sep 22LHPSinker90.2100.122.555Double
Sep 22LHPSinker92.297.1-7.247Out
Sep 22RHPSinker96.2104.4321.451Home run
Sep 20RHPFastball95.9105.813.883Single
Sep 19RHPFastball95.5102.2-9.299Out
Sep 18RHPFastball95.693.555.015Out
Sep 17RHPCutter90.494.925.274Out
Sep 17RHPFastball96.372.645.197Single
Sep 17RHPCutter81.732.9-23–Sac bunt
Sep 16LHPCutter85.577.3-38.111Out
Sep 16RHPSplitter86.191.729.116Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24100000
Sep 23200011
Sep 22426101
Sep 20411003
Sep 19200001
Sep 18100000
Sep 17411001
Sep 16400001
Sep 13200000
Sep 12300000
FormCold
Contact rating22Poor
Last 100 pitches4trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.246 / .286running 40 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.287
Barrel%5.0%
Hard-hit%26.8%
K%24.9%
BB%7.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Brandon Marsh · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Brandon Marsh · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Christian Scott: 44.4% · no hitSep 20 vs Jonah Tong: 44.6% · 1 HSep 22 vs Dustin May: 45.0% · 2 HSep 23 vs Logan Henderson: 54.9% · no hitSep 25 vs Freddy Peralta: 56.2% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 1.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 1.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.2
Games with a HR1 of 4BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeDwOBA .287 · K% 24.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Freddy Peralta56.2%33.0%11.5%not settled
Sep 23Logan Henderson54.9%32.3%11.4%2000
Sep 22Dustin May45.0%28.8%10.3%4261
Sep 20Jonah Tong44.6%31.7%9.4%4110
Sep 19Christian Scott44.4%30.2%9.6%2000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.