MLBengine v14
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Carlos Jorge

CIN · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

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Sep 26 · 2:07 PM CTvs Trey Yesavage RHPCIN @ TOR1+ hit 58.5%2+ TB 34.8%HR 11.4%Sep 25 · 6:07 PM CTvs José Soriano RHPCIN @ TOR1+ hit 59.5%2+ TB 33.9%HR 9.3%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Carlos Jorge · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.214.267.571.407.30526.7%6.7%21.6%78.4101.010.0%20.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1334.156.206.312.253.25529.4%5.9%26.6%79.4101.74.5%18.2%36.4%
Last 30 G1334.156.206.312.253.25529.4%5.9%26.6%79.4101.74.5%18.2%36.4%
90 days1334.156.206.312.253.25529.4%5.9%26.6%79.4101.74.5%18.2%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 22 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 27%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 GNo plate appearances
Last 15 G12.000.000.000.000.17650.0%0.0%66.7%71.771.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G12.000.000.000.000.17650.0%0.0%66.7%71.771.70.0%0.0%0.0%
90 days12.000.000.000.000.17650.0%0.0%66.7%71.771.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 1 balls in play
Ground 0%Line drive 0%Fly ball 100%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.214.267.571.407.30526.7%6.7%21.6%78.4101.010.0%20.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1336.147.194.294.239.25130.6%5.6%28.0%79.1101.74.3%17.4%34.8%
Last 30 G1336.147.194.294.239.25130.6%5.6%28.0%79.1101.74.3%17.4%34.8%
90 days1336.147.194.294.239.25130.6%5.6%28.0%79.1101.74.3%17.4%34.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 23 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 26%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 4%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSplitter87.982.33.287Out
Sep 24RHPSplitter84.194.321.222Out
Sep 24RHPFastball92.9101.032.909Home run
Sep 22RHPSinker93.763.2-9.071Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball77.968.724.883Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup92.882.1-34.055Error
Sep 19RHPSplitter86.675.410.260Out
Sep 18RHPSinker93.392.16.429Out
Sep 18RHPSinker92.128.10.289Out
Sep 18RHPChangeup88.196.818.477Triple
Sep 17RHPFastball94.481.067.000Out
Sep 15RHPCutter91.993.123.220Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24414101
Sep 22511003
Sep 20100000
Sep 19100000
Sep 18413010
Sep 17100000
Sep 15300011
Sep 14100001
Sep 11300001
Sep 9400002
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.241 / .294running 53 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.306
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%23.7%
K%24.2%
BB%7.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Carlos Jorge · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Clay Holmes: 44.8% · 1 HSep 22 vs JR Ritchie: 44.6% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tyler Mahle: 53.1% · 1 HSep 25 vs José Soriano: 57.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 1.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 3BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR1 of 3BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeFwOBA .306 · K% 24.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25José Soriano57.9%31.2%6.7%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Mahle53.1%27.4%8.4%4141
Sep 22JR Ritchie44.6%32.2%10.0%5110
Sep 18Clay Holmes44.8%29.2%8.9%4130
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.