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Carter Jensen

KC · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Carter Jensen · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.133.133.333.193.06146.7%0.0%35.7%89.0104.50.0%37.5%0.0%
Last 15 G1547.275.383.550.399.35623.4%12.8%28.7%90.4110.013.8%37.9%37.9%
Last 30 G2888.311.420.716.470.42021.6%14.8%25.3%93.8110.216.4%50.9%41.8%
90 days63206.233.345.528.378.33526.2%13.6%24.7%91.8110.212.4%46.3%33.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 121 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 17%Fly ball 38%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.500.571.500.486.33442.9%0.0%36.4%92.0106.40.0%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1017.250.294.438.318.28947.1%0.0%31.0%83.8108.412.5%25.0%50.0%
Last 30 G2141.265.366.471.362.38234.1%12.2%28.6%93.0110.314.3%47.6%42.9%
90 days4797.209.289.337.280.30439.2%9.3%31.4%91.3110.314.3%44.9%42.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.238.273.381.286.14845.5%0.0%35.8%89.8106.40.0%36.4%18.2%
Last 15 G1564.268.359.518.377.33829.7%9.4%29.3%89.0110.013.5%35.1%40.5%
Last 30 G30129.296.403.639.436.40825.6%14.0%26.3%93.6110.315.8%50.0%42.1%
90 days71303.225.327.466.347.32530.4%12.2%26.7%91.7110.312.9%45.9%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 170 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 20%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball95.590.746.014Out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.386.041.008Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.5104.5-8.324Single
Sep 23LHPSlider83.7106.416.662Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper77.194.05.458Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup92.083.9-8.109Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.499.046.045Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.275.614.491Single
Sep 19RHPFastball97.299.940.303Home run
Sep 19RHPFastball94.955.042.100Out
Sep 18RHPFastball96.292.674.007Out
Sep 17RHPSinker94.1103.1-10.283Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400002
Sep 23433001
Sep 22511001
Sep 19514103
Sep 18400003
Sep 17422010
Sep 16512010
Sep 15412002
Sep 13211001
Sep 12414102
FormCold
Contact rating70Above average
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.350 / .336results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.352
Barrel%7.7%
Hard-hit%26.6%
K%29.0%
BB%12.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Carter Jensen · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Carter Jensen · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Paul Skenes: 53.5% · no hitSep 19 vs Bubba Chandler: 55.5% · 1 HSep 22 vs Anthony Kay: 53.4% · 1 HSep 23 vs Bryan Hudson: 60.1% · 3 HSep 24 vs David Sandlin: 57.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Gavin Williams: 53.1% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeAwOBA .352 · K% 29.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Gavin Williams53.1%32.7%14.4%not settled
Sep 24David Sandlin57.4%30.4%14.1%4000
Sep 23Bryan Hudson60.1%35.9%13.5%4330
Sep 22Anthony Kay53.4%33.3%12.6%5110
Sep 19Bubba Chandler55.5%40.5%15.2%5141
Sep 18Paul Skenes53.5%32.9%13.6%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.