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Christian Encarnacion-Strand

BAL · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.444.444.778.522.4000.0%0.0%17.4%83.5102.111.1%22.2%44.4%
Last 15 G1339.343.385.600.437.31320.5%2.6%33.3%85.8110.47.1%32.1%28.6%
Last 30 G2469.312.348.500.377.28124.6%2.9%26.3%88.5110.46.2%35.4%35.4%
90 days49129.264.295.438.321.28723.3%2.3%24.1%89.3110.46.5%34.4%37.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 93 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 27%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.167.000.117.23916.7%16.7%10.0%82.999.10.0%25.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1016.154.312.385.312.33025.0%12.5%40.6%81.9102.811.1%33.3%22.2%
Last 30 G1942.270.357.568.393.39428.6%9.5%30.7%85.6111.816.0%36.0%40.0%
90 days3879.290.372.638.428.42930.4%10.1%31.4%90.1111.821.7%45.7%39.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 46 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 20%Fly ball 37%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.286.333.500.360.3366.7%6.7%15.2%83.3102.17.7%23.1%30.8%
Last 15 G1555.292.364.542.401.31821.8%5.5%35.3%84.9110.48.1%32.4%27.0%
Last 30 G30111.297.351.525.383.32426.1%5.4%27.9%87.5111.89.6%35.6%37.0%
90 days57208.274.324.511.361.34026.0%5.3%26.8%89.6111.811.5%38.1%38.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 25%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCurveball72.982.154.013Out
Sep 23RHPCutter87.9101.4311.019Home run
Sep 23RHPSlider83.074.021.892Single
Sep 23RHPChangeup81.392.215.886Single
Sep 23RHPSweeper82.577.167.003Out
Sep 23LHPFastball94.186.1-4.138Double play
Sep 23RHPSinker99.751.5-26.088Out
Sep 21RHPFastball93.077.382.003Out
Sep 21RHPSweeper84.993.653.018Out
Sep 21RHPChangeup86.4102.115.679Single
Sep 19LHPCutter88.876.51.166Double play
Sep 19LHPFastball93.170.071.003Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411000
Sep 23325100
Sep 21311000
Sep 20100010
Sep 19400001
Sep 18500002
Sep 16438101
Sep 15525101
Sep 14412002
Sep 13411001
FormCold
Contact rating82Excellent
Last 100 pitches73trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.360 / .353results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCPower type
wOBA.325
Barrel%6.9%
Hard-hit%26.7%
K%25.5%
BB%4.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dustin May: 56.5% · no hitSep 19 vs Robert Gasser: 60.1% · no hitSep 23 vs CJ Van Eyk: 62.2% · 2 HSep 25 vs Brendan Beck: 62.7% · 2 HSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR1 of 4BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeCwOBA .325 · K% 25.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brendan Beck62.7%42.0%19.0%5230
Sep 23CJ Van Eyk62.2%39.4%16.0%3251
Sep 19Robert Gasser60.1%45.9%17.7%4000
Sep 18Dustin May56.5%36.6%15.7%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.