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Christian Walker

HOU · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Christian Walker · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.333.333.667.422.36627.8%0.0%29.3%96.1110.723.1%69.2%38.5%
Last 15 G1544.233.250.442.295.34422.7%2.3%24.3%88.3110.718.2%45.5%45.5%
Last 30 G2985.205.212.361.255.29521.2%1.2%23.1%88.6110.712.1%40.9%34.8%
90 days65214.205.252.355.270.29227.1%4.7%27.4%87.8110.79.8%37.8%38.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 143 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 26%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G13.000.333.000.233.30433.3%33.3%25.0%94.294.20.0%0.0%100.0%
Last 15 G614.000.214.000.150.19328.6%21.4%33.3%84.9101.70.0%14.3%14.3%
Last 30 G1632.154.312.154.244.26625.0%15.6%28.1%85.7108.60.0%27.8%27.8%
90 days3266.226.379.377.358.31819.7%15.2%27.7%88.0110.02.5%32.5%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 15%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.300.333.600.395.35828.6%4.8%28.9%95.9110.721.4%64.3%42.9%
Last 15 G1558.185.241.352.260.30724.1%6.9%26.0%87.7110.715.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 30 G30117.193.239.312.252.28722.2%5.1%24.3%87.9110.79.5%38.1%33.3%
90 days70280.209.282.360.291.29825.4%7.1%27.5%87.8110.78.2%36.6%35.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 183 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 24%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball93.295.745.013Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball79.1101.614.773Single
Sep 24RHPSinker96.9109.7221.787Home run
Sep 23RHPSweeper87.383.963.010Out
Sep 23RHPSinker96.4105.6-9.273Single
Sep 22RHPFastball97.4104.215.720Out
Sep 22RHPSlider87.6104.7211.077Home run
Sep 22RHPFastball96.680.041.041Out
Sep 22RHPSinker96.9105.3-6.323Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup82.094.228.215Out
Sep 19RHPSlider84.6108.219.969Single
Sep 19RHPFastball97.0110.71.528Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24425101
Sep 23411002
Sep 22514101
Sep 20400012
Sep 19422000
Sep 18400002
Sep 16400002
Sep 15300002
Sep 13200010
Sep 12400001
FormNormal
Contact rating41Below average
Last 100 pitches87trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.283 / .308running 25 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.294
Barrel%5.9%
Hard-hit%24.0%
K%25.9%
BB%7.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Christian Walker · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Christian Walker · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Mahle: 50.4% · no hitSep 19 vs Grant Holmes: 50.8% · 2 HSep 20 vs Martín Pérez: 53.6% · no hitSep 22 vs Logan Gilbert: 46.5% · 1 HSep 23 vs George Kirby: 58.6% · 1 HSep 24 vs Mason Barnett: 59.5% · 2 HSep 25 vs Jacob Lopez: 62.3% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 1.8
Games with a HR2 of 6BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeDwOBA .294 · K% 25.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob Lopez62.3%39.5%16.8%not settled
Sep 24Mason Barnett59.5%33.7%16.7%4251
Sep 23George Kirby58.6%30.7%11.1%4110
Sep 22Logan Gilbert46.5%23.8%10.0%5141
Sep 20Martín Pérez53.6%35.4%12.0%4000
Sep 19Grant Holmes50.8%30.6%10.7%4220
Sep 18Tyler Mahle50.4%24.4%9.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.