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Coby Mayo

BAL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Coby Mayo · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.000.200.000.140.8200.0%20.0%14.3%94.1105.150.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1116.231.375.462.369.51518.8%18.8%20.7%92.2110.230.0%50.0%30.0%
Last 30 G2244.368.455.658.473.49318.2%11.4%20.0%88.1112.623.3%46.7%36.7%
90 days4897.314.392.674.446.46027.8%9.3%26.2%91.1114.225.4%49.2%44.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 17%Fly ball 46%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.154.214.231.204.31335.7%7.1%26.9%87.2110.912.5%37.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1548.250.312.614.385.44422.9%8.3%22.3%90.3110.918.2%42.4%39.4%
Last 30 G2673.194.260.433.310.35428.8%6.8%26.0%88.9110.913.0%41.3%37.0%
90 days46123.212.276.442.323.33626.8%7.3%26.4%90.4110.911.2%43.8%42.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 80 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 24%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.118.211.176.187.44626.3%10.5%24.2%89.5110.925.0%41.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1564.246.328.579.381.46121.9%10.9%22.0%90.7110.920.9%44.2%37.2%
Last 30 G30117.257.333.514.371.40624.8%8.5%23.9%88.6112.617.1%43.4%36.8%
90 days63220.256.327.543.378.39127.3%8.2%26.3%90.7114.217.3%46.0%43.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 21%Fly ball 37%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCurveball82.397.031.460Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball71.577.833.085Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.2110.9221.903Double
Sep 23LHPFastball93.792.020.260Out
Sep 23RHPFastball90.972.041.352Out
Sep 21RHPSweeper84.388.23.367Out
Sep 21RHPSlider73.680.042.036Out
Sep 20RHPFastball101.0102.6-17.210Out
Sep 20LHPSinker96.1105.0251.739Out
Sep 20RHPSinker96.568.7-54.266Single
Sep 19LHPSweeper79.474.3-21.043Out
Sep 19LHPFastball94.3105.1351.362Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400002
Sep 23312000
Sep 21400002
Sep 20411010
Sep 19400011
Sep 18536010
Sep 16400010
Sep 15525101
Sep 14411001
Sep 13511013
FormHot
Contact rating98Elite
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.379 / .403running 23 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.347
Barrel%8.9%
Hard-hit%27.7%
K%27.2%
BB%8.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Coby Mayo · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Coby Mayo · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dustin May: 58.4% · 3 HSep 19 vs Robert Gasser: 62.9% · no hitSep 20 vs Jacob Misiorowski: 53.7% · 1 HSep 23 vs CJ Van Eyk: 65.4% · 1 HSep 25 vs Brendan Beck: 63.5% · no hitSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 2.1
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 1.0
Talent gradeAwOBA .347 · K% 27.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brendan Beck63.5%44.9%23.4%5000
Sep 23CJ Van Eyk65.4%42.8%20.1%3120
Sep 20Jacob Misiorowski53.7%37.7%16.2%4110
Sep 19Robert Gasser62.9%48.5%20.1%4000
Sep 18Dustin May58.4%38.9%18.0%5360
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.