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Colson Montgomery

CWS · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Colson Montgomery · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.000.000.000.000.04340.0%0.0%14.3%72.985.00.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1119.125.263.188.271.21047.4%5.3%50.0%82.8103.00.0%28.6%14.3%
Last 30 G2032.179.281.429.336.34637.5%6.2%37.7%89.6115.418.8%50.0%31.2%
90 days5197.253.330.402.334.31127.8%8.2%26.8%84.3115.48.3%35.0%31.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 22%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.071.188.071.144.17450.0%12.5%25.0%89.3105.70.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1439.061.205.091.163.21443.6%12.8%34.1%86.8110.76.2%31.2%37.5%
Last 30 G2891.115.242.269.247.24947.3%12.1%33.9%86.2112.311.4%34.3%42.9%
90 days69212.147.222.304.251.24444.8%7.5%36.2%88.5113.610.3%36.1%34.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 97 balls in play
Ground 22%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 30%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.053.143.053.110.14347.6%9.5%23.1%83.8105.70.0%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1558.082.224.122.198.21344.8%10.3%38.3%85.6110.74.3%30.4%30.4%
Last 30 G30123.132.252.311.270.27544.7%10.6%34.8%87.3115.413.7%39.2%39.2%
90 days73309.180.256.335.278.26539.5%7.8%33.4%86.9115.49.6%35.7%33.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 157 balls in play
Ground 27%Line drive 22%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 27%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball90.487.953.008Out
Sep 24RHPFastball91.397.541.166Out
Sep 24RHPChangeup91.191.848.000Out
Sep 23LHPSinker91.055.0-21.077Out
Sep 22LHPSinker92.178.8-2.128Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.679.032.044Out
Sep 20RHPCutter88.773.943.226Out
Sep 20LHPSweeper79.585.036.011Out
Sep 20RHPSlider82.4105.711.939Single
Sep 18LHPFastball93.6103.010.812Double
Sep 18LHPSweeper80.465.537.551Single
Sep 15RHPChangeup79.985.926.069Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400001
Sep 23400003
Sep 22500003
Sep 20511020
Sep 19300003
Sep 18423002
Sep 16200001
Sep 15200001
Sep 14500003
Sep 13400011
FormCold
Contact rating14Poor
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.267 / .271results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.301
Barrel%5.6%
Hard-hit%19.6%
K%37.8%
BB%8.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Colson Montgomery · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Colson Montgomery · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Andrew Sears: 37.6% · 2 HSep 19 vs Jackson Jobe: 37.4% · no hitSep 20 vs Troy Melton: 38.0% · 1 HSep 22 vs Daniel Lynch IV: 42.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Seth Lugo: 49.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Randy Dobnak: 49.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 55.1% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 6BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.8
Talent gradeFwOBA .301 · K% 37.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Tomoyuki Sugano55.1%37.4%18.7%not settled
Sep 24Randy Dobnak49.6%28.0%14.4%4000
Sep 23Seth Lugo49.3%30.4%13.4%4000
Sep 22Daniel Lynch IV42.1%30.3%12.2%5000
Sep 20Troy Melton38.0%29.6%13.0%5110
Sep 19Jackson Jobe37.4%28.9%13.5%3000
Sep 18Andrew Sears37.6%24.4%11.6%4230
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.