MLBengine v14
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Connor Wong

BOS · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 25 · 4:35 PM CTvs David Peterson LHPCHC @ BOS1+ hit 51.5%2+ TB 24.9%HR 5.2%Sep 25 · 12:05 PM CTvs Clay Holmes RHPCHC @ BOS1+ hit 56.3%2+ TB 28.7%HR 4.9%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Connor Wong · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.200.200.200.180.34740.0%0.0%20.0%88.8105.30.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1017.235.235.471.297.33317.6%0.0%17.4%86.5106.37.1%42.9%28.6%
Last 30 G1526.240.240.520.326.35115.4%0.0%15.8%86.2110.59.1%45.5%27.3%
90 days2039.286.324.486.361.33717.9%5.1%18.2%79.0110.56.7%33.3%23.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 13%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.077.143.077.114.16628.6%7.1%24.1%80.8108.60.0%22.2%11.1%
Last 15 G1439.162.205.162.174.18133.3%2.6%22.8%80.1108.60.0%20.8%12.5%
Last 30 G2778.151.205.219.197.20532.1%3.8%25.8%82.5108.62.1%27.7%19.1%
90 days3388.162.239.225.220.21431.8%5.7%26.0%83.2108.62.0%29.4%19.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 51 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 12%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.111.158.111.132.21331.6%5.3%23.1%82.8108.60.0%25.0%16.7%
Last 15 G1556.185.214.259.212.22728.6%1.8%21.6%82.5108.62.6%28.9%18.4%
Last 30 G30104.173.214.296.229.24127.9%2.9%23.9%83.7110.54.3%33.3%21.7%
90 days36127.200.264.304.262.25127.6%5.5%23.9%81.7110.53.7%30.9%21.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 81 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 12%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 18LHPSlider80.687.816.905Single
Sep 18RHPFastball92.388.527.082Out
Sep 8LHPCurveball72.373.237.330Out
Sep 8RHPSinker96.579.673.000Out
Sep 5RHPSinker92.864.047.159Out
Sep 5RHPSinker94.659.433.324Out
Sep 5RHPFastball95.7105.7-6.329Single
Sep 2RHPSinker94.572.22.110Out
Sep 2RHPCurveball81.465.3-1.123Out
Sep 2RHPSinker90.7108.61.474Out
Sep 1RHPFastball97.084.036.024Out
Sep 1LHPSinker99.1105.32.498Force out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 18411002
Sep 8300001
Sep 5411001
Sep 2400001
Sep 1400011
Aug 31411001
Aug 29411002
Aug 26400000
Aug 25500001
Aug 23323000
FormNormal
Contact rating5Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches1steady
wOBA / xwOBA.257 / .251results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.261
Barrel%2.5%
Hard-hit%21.0%
K%25.2%
BB%7.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Connor Wong · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Connor Wong · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Ian Seymour: 38.3% · 1 HSep 25 vs David Peterson: 51.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 1 settled games; the projections added up to 0.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

1 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 1BTB expected 0.4
Games with 2+ TB0 of 1BTB expected 0.2
Games with a HR0 of 1BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeFwOBA .261 · K% 25.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25David Peterson51.4%24.7%5.1%not settled
Sep 18Ian Seymour38.3%19.7%7.8%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.