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Danny Jansen

TEX · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Danny Jansen · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.100.250.200.296.30916.7%8.3%22.2%91.6103.10.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1534.333.394.500.424.3498.8%2.9%20.8%88.1105.53.6%42.9%25.0%
Last 30 G2245.293.341.512.392.30215.6%2.2%25.0%87.4105.55.7%40.0%22.9%
90 days2245.293.341.512.392.30215.6%2.2%25.0%87.4105.55.7%40.0%22.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 35 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 14%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.500.000.360.3800.0%33.3%0.0%79.184.20.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G815.200.429.200.346.28213.3%20.0%15.0%77.9101.60.0%11.1%0.0%
Last 30 G1429.136.296.273.285.29920.7%13.8%22.0%76.7106.65.6%16.7%22.2%
90 days1429.136.296.273.285.29920.7%13.8%22.0%76.7106.65.6%16.7%22.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 18 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 17%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 28%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.077.333.154.315.33011.1%16.7%17.4%88.2103.10.0%36.4%0.0%
Last 15 G1549.300.404.425.402.33010.2%8.2%19.2%85.6105.52.7%35.1%18.9%
Last 30 G2274.238.324.429.352.30117.6%6.8%23.8%83.8106.65.7%32.1%22.6%
90 days2274.238.324.429.352.30117.6%6.8%23.8%83.8106.65.7%32.1%22.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 15%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 19%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSweeper80.975.062.010Out
Sep 24LHPCutter87.878.240.054Out
Sep 23RHPCutter91.580.9-1.111Out
Sep 23RHPFastball92.3103.17.591Out
Sep 22RHPCutter93.893.736.163Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.084.277.010Out
Sep 20RHPCutter86.496.836.261Out
Sep 20RHPFastball99.498.3-3.293Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper81.277.848.067Out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.299.03.442Double
Sep 19RHPCurveball83.683.57.356Fielder's choice
Sep 17RHPSinker91.384.70.226Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300001
Sep 23300010
Sep 22400010
Sep 20400001
Sep 19412010
Sep 17322000
Sep 16411000
Sep 15311010
Sep 13412001
Sep 11311000
FormHot
Contact rating33Below average
Last 100 pitches54trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.319 / .299running 20 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.331
Barrel%4.6%
Hard-hit%23.9%
K%22.5%
BB%10.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Danny Jansen · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Danny Jansen · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs José Soriano: 52.6% · 1 HSep 20 vs Spencer Miles: 54.0% · no hitSep 23 vs Nolan McLean: 57.6% · no hitSep 24 vs Zac Thornton: 55.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Joe Ryan: 55.2% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 4BTB expected 2.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeDwOBA .331 · K% 22.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Joe Ryan55.2%30.3%11.6%not settled
Sep 24Zac Thornton55.4%25.7%11.4%3000
Sep 23Nolan McLean57.6%28.0%9.0%3000
Sep 20Spencer Miles54.0%29.4%8.9%4000
Sep 19José Soriano52.6%25.4%8.0%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.