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Denzer Guzman

LAA · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 17, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Denzer Guzman · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.125.222.500.300.25033.3%11.1%22.7%90.7107.60.0%60.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1430.250.300.500.342.29726.7%6.7%20.3%87.3107.65.0%50.0%35.0%
Last 30 G2651.213.275.447.310.28823.5%7.8%24.1%86.8110.28.6%42.9%34.3%
90 days4385.179.247.359.266.27027.1%8.2%28.7%85.0110.27.3%32.7%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 55 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 20%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.100.308.100.231.27315.4%23.1%32.4%82.2103.00.0%37.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1332.207.281.207.234.24521.9%9.4%26.0%87.8105.50.0%31.8%36.4%
Last 30 G2459.182.224.218.207.23232.2%5.1%30.5%86.2107.60.0%35.1%40.5%
90 days52141.218.246.271.250.24127.7%2.8%22.3%85.2109.91.0%30.2%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 96 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.111.273.278.259.26422.7%18.2%28.6%85.5107.60.0%46.2%30.8%
Last 15 G1562.228.290.351.286.27024.2%8.1%23.4%87.6107.62.4%40.5%35.7%
Last 30 G30110.196.248.324.255.25828.2%6.4%27.6%86.5110.24.2%38.9%37.5%
90 days61226.204.247.303.256.25227.4%4.9%24.7%85.1110.23.3%31.1%37.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 151 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.056.863.003Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball84.5103.0-9.283Out
Sep 23LHPFastball90.387.425.090Out
Sep 23RHPFastball96.284.632.010Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.198.833.536Home run
Sep 22LHPFastball91.962.8-12.058Out
Sep 22RHPSinker95.198.7-17.173Double play
Sep 22LHPFastball92.297.125.387Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter79.997.1-28.103Out
Sep 19RHPSweeper81.184.445.022Out
Sep 19RHPSinker92.482.420.816Single
Sep 19RHPFastball94.750.943.046Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500012
Sep 23400002
Sep 22514110
Sep 20300011
Sep 19511010
Sep 18400000
Sep 17411001
Sep 16544000
Sep 15400003
Sep 14411000
FormHot
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches16trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.253 / .258results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.269
Barrel%3.4%
Hard-hit%21.5%
K%28.0%
BB%5.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Denzer Guzman · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Denzer Guzman · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 17 vs Taj Bradley: 43.5% · 1 HSep 18 vs Connor Prielipp: 46.2% · no hitSep 19 vs Joe Ryan: 43.3% · 1 HSep 22 vs Brady Basso: 52.2% · 1 HSep 23 vs Jeffrey Springs: 60.5% · no hitSep 24 vs Bryan Woo: 53.5% · no hitSep 17Sep 24

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeFwOBA .269 · K% 28.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Bryan Woo53.5%23.6%6.7%5000
Sep 23Jeffrey Springs60.5%35.4%10.5%4000
Sep 22Brady Basso52.2%33.4%8.5%5141
Sep 19Joe Ryan43.3%22.7%7.3%5110
Sep 18Connor Prielipp46.2%23.0%8.1%4000
Sep 17Taj Bradley43.5%21.1%7.7%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.