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Dominic Canzone

SEA · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Dominic Canzone · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.214.267.286.250.27620.0%6.7%26.9%92.4112.09.1%36.4%45.5%
Last 15 G1335.265.286.412.301.31820.0%2.9%27.1%91.6112.011.1%44.4%44.4%
Last 30 G2876.233.263.411.294.34025.0%3.9%24.6%93.1112.813.2%45.3%39.6%
90 days68200.238.280.407.305.32322.5%5.5%25.1%90.9112.88.4%42.0%33.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 143 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 22%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.600.667.600.567.4210.0%16.7%27.3%84.2104.20.0%40.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1331.346.419.577.435.37516.1%12.9%19.2%90.1106.313.6%45.5%45.5%
Last 30 G2457.286.368.449.363.33815.8%10.5%21.3%87.3106.37.3%39.0%36.6%
90 days48110.280.382.484.381.36119.1%12.7%20.4%87.5108.48.2%41.1%32.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 18%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.316.381.368.340.31714.3%9.5%27.0%89.8112.06.2%37.5%50.0%
Last 15 G1566.300.348.483.363.34418.2%7.6%23.4%90.9112.012.2%44.9%44.9%
Last 30 G30133.254.308.426.324.33921.1%6.8%23.3%90.6112.810.6%42.6%38.3%
90 days71310.252.316.433.332.33621.3%8.1%23.5%89.8112.88.3%41.7%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 216 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 20%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball95.680.5-48.117Out
Sep 24LHPSlider79.870.7-22.035Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball82.891.530.076Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball80.8112.0171.013Single
Sep 23LHPCutter84.898.216.628Single
Sep 23LHPSinker95.775.8-13.067Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup87.297.6-2.342Out
Sep 23RHPSlider87.882.043.012Out
Sep 22LHPSlider85.472.132.509Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup86.776.332.185Out
Sep 22RHPSlider85.087.182.003Out
Sep 20RHPFastball96.688.3-3.216Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400001
Sep 23522000
Sep 22411001
Sep 20423001
Sep 19411020
Sep 18512010
Sep 16511020
Sep 15413000
Sep 14411002
Sep 13512001
FormHot
Contact rating75Above average
Last 100 pitches86trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.328 / .342results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit11/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.340
Barrel%6.3%
Hard-hit%29.0%
K%21.5%
BB%8.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Dominic Canzone · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Dominic Canzone · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gabriel Hughes: 71.1% · 1 HSep 19 vs Jose Quintana: 72.3% · 1 HSep 20 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 75.2% · 2 HSep 22 vs Cristian Javier: 68.6% · 1 HSep 23 vs Ethan Pecko: 70.7% · 2 HSep 24 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 65.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Reid Detmers: 64.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 4.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 4.2
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.6
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 1.0
Talent gradeBwOBA .340 · K% 21.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Reid Detmers64.9%37.2%14.1%not settled
Sep 24Grayson Rodriguez65.4%31.6%14.4%4000
Sep 23Ethan Pecko70.7%39.8%17.4%5220
Sep 22Cristian Javier68.6%40.2%15.4%4110
Sep 20Tomoyuki Sugano75.2%56.0%20.4%4230
Sep 19Jose Quintana72.3%48.7%15.5%4110
Sep 18Gabriel Hughes71.1%42.7%15.9%5120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.