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Dylan Beavers

BAL · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Dylan Beavers · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.000.000.000.000.15642.9%0.0%23.1%95.099.925.0%50.0%75.0%
Last 15 G1217.176.176.294.200.15941.2%0.0%28.6%81.9103.510.0%30.0%50.0%
Last 30 G2033.233.303.333.286.23033.3%9.1%20.8%81.1103.55.3%31.6%52.6%
90 days3251.213.275.277.252.22629.4%7.8%20.3%81.7103.53.1%21.9%46.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 32 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 25%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.143.250.143.213.30731.2%12.5%25.0%92.4108.112.5%50.0%37.5%
Last 15 G1446.143.217.238.234.27432.6%8.7%24.7%87.9108.17.7%38.5%38.5%
Last 30 G2883.197.265.382.297.30325.3%8.4%22.4%86.9108.111.1%35.2%42.6%
90 days64183.223.295.373.309.30528.4%8.2%23.8%89.8108.18.0%42.9%42.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 112 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 26%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.095.174.095.145.25934.8%8.7%24.4%93.2108.116.7%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1563.153.206.254.225.24334.9%6.3%25.7%86.2108.18.3%36.1%41.7%
Last 30 G30116.208.276.368.294.28227.6%8.6%21.9%85.4108.19.6%34.2%45.2%
90 days67234.221.291.352.297.28828.6%8.1%23.1%88.0108.16.9%38.2%43.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 144 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 26%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 13%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCurveball82.480.1-2.159Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup82.0100.914.811Single
Sep 23RHPFastball93.6107.017.684Out
Sep 23LHPSlider90.188.928.115Out
Sep 21RHPCutter92.678.240.054Out
Sep 21LHPCutter93.299.944.099Out
Sep 20RHPFastball100.899.238.333Out
Sep 20LHPSlider91.198.227.610Out
Sep 18RHPSinker99.5108.115.748Single
Sep 18RHPFastball96.476.248.094Out
Sep 18LHPSinker96.593.021.268Out
Sep 18RHPCutter93.889.22.327Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400002
Sep 23511011
Sep 21400002
Sep 20400002
Sep 18611011
Sep 16400002
Sep 15200010
Sep 14500002
Sep 13523012
Sep 12500002
FormNormal
Contact rating36Below average
Last 100 pitches7trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.294 / .302results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.319
Barrel%4.5%
Hard-hit%22.6%
K%28.1%
BB%10.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Dylan Beavers · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Dylan Beavers · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dustin May: 51.7% · 1 HSep 20 vs Jacob Misiorowski: 48.0% · no hitSep 23 vs CJ Van Eyk: 60.9% · no hitSep 25 vs Brendan Beck: 60.8% · 1 HSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR1 of 4BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeDwOBA .319 · K% 28.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brendan Beck60.8%39.5%16.8%6141
Sep 23CJ Van Eyk60.9%37.2%13.1%4000
Sep 20Jacob Misiorowski48.0%29.8%10.3%4000
Sep 18Dustin May51.7%30.1%12.0%6110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.