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Eduardo Valencia

DET · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Eduardo Valencia · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.444.444.556.439.5420.0%0.0%15.8%90.6106.911.1%66.7%55.6%
Last 15 G1233.400.438.533.433.4696.1%6.1%19.0%91.5106.910.7%53.6%50.0%
Last 30 G2458.352.386.481.385.41212.1%5.2%18.9%88.7106.914.9%51.1%42.6%
90 days2970.369.406.569.425.39612.9%4.3%20.2%88.6106.914.3%51.8%41.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 29%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.400.400.600.430.34440.0%0.0%42.9%86.088.20.0%0.0%100.0%
Last 15 G1219.278.316.444.329.30231.6%0.0%25.6%87.7107.38.3%25.0%58.3%
Last 30 G2441.275.293.550.355.28139.0%0.0%29.0%90.7112.48.3%37.5%54.2%
90 days3254.302.315.642.417.30537.0%0.0%28.3%90.7112.412.1%39.4%57.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 33 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 33%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.429.429.571.436.47214.3%0.0%23.1%89.4106.98.3%50.0%66.7%
Last 15 G1552.354.392.500.395.40815.4%3.8%21.8%90.3107.310.0%45.0%52.5%
Last 30 G3099.319.347.511.373.35823.2%3.0%23.5%89.3112.412.7%46.5%46.5%
90 days38124.339.366.602.421.35723.4%2.4%24.2%89.4112.413.5%47.2%47.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 89 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 30%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 22LHPChangeup85.387.18.451Force out
Sep 22RHPSlider86.2104.8301.645Out
Sep 22RHPSinker96.961.30.057Out
Sep 21RHPCutter91.996.816.679Out
Sep 21LHPCurveball80.882.78.369Double
Sep 21LHPChangeup81.788.213.902Single
Sep 21RHPCutter90.7101.2-1.373Double
Sep 20RHPSinker93.191.718.560Single
Sep 20RHPFastball91.897.416.679Single
Sep 20RHPCurveball81.5106.93.507Single
Sep 20RHPSinker95.397.236.261Out
Sep 19RHPSinker99.257.713.119Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23100001
Sep 22400001
Sep 21435000
Sep 20433000
Sep 19100000
Sep 18523001
Sep 15512010
Sep 12534010
Sep 8411000
Sep 7100000
FormHot
Contact rating97Top tier
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.425 / .391running 34 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.356
Barrel%7.0%
Hard-hit%29.9%
K%23.2%
BB%5.5%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Eduardo Valencia · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Eduardo Valencia · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs David Sandlin: 62.6% · 2 HSep 20 vs Davis Martin: 66.7% · 3 HSep 22 vs Riley Cornelio: 66.8% · no hitSep 25 vs Bubba Chandler: 64.2% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 2.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 2.0
Games with 2+ TB2 of 3BTB expected 1.2
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeBwOBA .356 · K% 23.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Bubba Chandler64.2%36.3%12.3%not settled
Sep 22Riley Cornelio66.8%42.2%13.9%4000
Sep 20Davis Martin66.7%45.3%13.9%4330
Sep 18David Sandlin62.6%33.7%12.8%5230
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.