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Ezequiel Duran

TEX · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Ezequiel Duran · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.000.071.000.054.15942.9%7.1%28.0%90.199.60.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G1543.075.116.100.106.19630.2%2.3%18.4%81.6108.20.0%29.6%25.9%
Last 30 G2980.164.225.288.254.24423.8%6.2%22.2%86.0108.21.9%35.2%27.8%
90 days75212.230.274.408.305.27425.0%5.2%23.2%86.6110.26.2%34.0%36.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 144 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 21%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.167.000.117.25916.7%16.7%5.9%94.0104.40.0%75.0%0.0%
Last 15 G919.188.316.188.300.38715.8%15.8%19.1%94.2105.60.0%61.5%38.5%
Last 30 G2046.308.413.462.409.38919.6%13.0%23.5%91.5110.96.7%56.7%40.0%
90 days49105.307.410.466.403.35920.0%13.3%24.4%91.0110.94.4%51.5%39.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 19%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.000.100.000.074.19035.0%10.0%19.0%91.7104.40.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1562.107.177.125.166.25525.8%6.5%18.7%85.7108.20.0%40.0%30.0%
Last 30 G30126.214.294.348.311.29722.2%8.7%22.7%88.0110.93.6%42.9%32.1%
90 days77317.254.319.426.338.30323.3%7.9%23.6%88.0110.95.7%39.6%37.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 212 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 20%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSlider84.379.5-7.091Out
Sep 23RHPSlider83.799.633.729Out
Sep 23RHPSinker95.389.6-24.076Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper85.284.562.016Out
Sep 23LHPSinker96.3104.4-2.372Force out
Sep 22LHPFastball90.295.1-16.133Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper75.397.236.261Out
Sep 20RHPSinker82.790.8-2.280Out
Sep 19RHPSinker94.780.1-48.141Out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.095.9-23.123Out
Sep 18RHPSlider87.994.430.236Sac fly
Sep 18RHPSlider85.990.115.916Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400002
Sep 23400000
Sep 22400011
Sep 20400012
Sep 19400002
Sep 18512000
Sep 17400001
Sep 16411002
Sep 15322000
Sep 13411011
FormCold
Contact rating49Average
Last 100 pitches19trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.334 / .316running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.312
Barrel%3.3%
Hard-hit%25.7%
K%23.7%
BB%7.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Ezequiel Duran · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Ezequiel Duran · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dylan Cease: 52.5% · 1 HSep 19 vs José Soriano: 58.6% · no hitSep 20 vs Spencer Miles: 56.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Nolan McLean: 58.2% · no hitSep 24 vs Zac Thornton: 57.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Joe Ryan: 61.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.5
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeDwOBA .312 · K% 23.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Joe Ryan61.7%34.6%10.5%not settled
Sep 24Zac Thornton57.6%28.0%10.5%3000
Sep 23Nolan McLean58.2%28.1%7.8%4000
Sep 20Spencer Miles56.9%34.4%8.5%4000
Sep 19José Soriano58.6%31.7%7.8%4000
Sep 18Dylan Cease52.5%23.2%7.7%5120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.