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Gabriel Moreno

ARI · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Gabriel Moreno · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.353.400.529.395.3335.0%10.0%8.0%89.8105.65.9%35.3%17.6%
Last 15 G1555.404.473.681.486.36412.7%10.9%13.6%91.3107.17.3%41.5%29.3%
Last 30 G2897.321.402.607.436.33414.4%11.3%13.5%89.8110.011.3%40.8%29.6%
90 days70235.337.413.535.412.34613.6%11.5%12.4%88.7110.06.9%37.9%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 174 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 21%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G23.667.6671.000.717.5060.0%0.0%0.0%85.8106.80.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G613.231.231.308.235.2130.0%0.0%5.0%80.4106.80.0%23.1%15.4%
Last 30 G1536.281.333.344.303.3348.3%8.3%10.7%87.0106.83.3%36.7%36.7%
90 days4892.296.359.457.358.38413.0%9.8%13.2%88.4110.95.6%42.3%43.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 71 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 28%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.400.435.600.437.3564.3%8.7%7.1%89.2106.85.0%35.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1568.367.426.600.438.33510.3%8.8%12.0%88.7107.15.6%37.0%25.9%
Last 30 G30133.310.383.534.400.33412.8%10.5%12.8%89.0110.08.9%39.6%31.7%
90 days74327.325.398.512.397.35613.5%11.0%12.7%88.7110.96.5%39.2%36.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 245 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 23%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball90.699.151.011Out
Sep 24RHPChangeup84.190.541.014Out
Sep 24RHPSlider82.280.862.026Out
Sep 24RHPFastball92.0105.6351.437Home run
Sep 24RHPCutter89.2101.6-9.257Out
Sep 23RHPSinker90.590.57.422Single
Sep 23RHPFastball91.483.172.003Out
Sep 23LHPFastball93.369.639.574Single
Sep 23RHPSweeper85.9104.70.472Single
Sep 22LHPCurveball79.981.0-11.088Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.595.522.247Out
Sep 22LHPCutter87.4106.810.855Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24614101
Sep 23433000
Sep 22512000
Sep 20422010
Sep 19411010
Sep 18400001
Sep 16437100
Sep 15625121
Sep 14511011
Sep 13514101
FormNormal
Contact rating91Top tier
Last 100 pitches83trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.400 / .368running 31 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit11/12
2+ total bases9/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAContact type
wOBA.383
Barrel%4.9%
Hard-hit%28.9%
K%14.4%
BB%10.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Gabriel Moreno · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Gabriel Moreno · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gerrit Cole: 69.3% · no hitSep 19 vs Cam Schlittler: 65.4% · 1 HSep 22 vs Kyle Freeland: 72.6% · 1 HSep 23 vs Mason Adams: 71.9% · 3 HSep 24 vs Tanner Gordon: 68.4% · 1 HSep 25 vs Casey Mize: 70.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 3.5
Games with 2+ TB3 of 5BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .383 · K% 14.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Casey Mize70.8%42.3%12.2%not settled
Sep 24Tanner Gordon68.4%37.7%12.5%6141
Sep 23Mason Adams71.9%42.7%12.1%4330
Sep 22Kyle Freeland72.6%46.7%13.4%5120
Sep 19Cam Schlittler65.4%38.3%10.0%4110
Sep 18Gerrit Cole69.3%38.5%10.5%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.