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Gary Sánchez

MIL · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Gary Sánchez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.333.556.333.450.3660.0%33.3%12.5%83.999.20.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1125.150.320.300.292.30112.0%20.0%35.3%85.1107.65.9%35.3%35.3%
Last 30 G2149.186.286.372.292.27620.4%10.2%32.1%85.9112.36.1%33.3%33.3%
90 days2762.192.323.404.323.31917.7%14.5%30.9%87.9112.37.3%39.0%34.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 41 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 20%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.111.200.111.160.21750.0%10.0%30.8%85.797.30.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1020.167.250.222.222.21940.0%10.0%32.1%84.1106.20.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 30 G2147.205.340.359.325.28034.0%17.0%28.6%85.9106.24.5%27.3%31.8%
90 days2557.200.368.356.339.30728.1%21.1%26.5%86.0106.23.6%28.6%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 28 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 18%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.200.368.200.289.28326.3%21.1%23.8%84.699.20.0%30.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1545.158.289.263.260.26424.4%15.6%33.9%84.7107.63.7%29.6%29.6%
Last 30 G3096.195.312.366.308.27827.1%13.5%30.4%85.9112.35.5%30.9%32.7%
90 days36119.196.345.381.331.31322.7%17.6%28.8%87.1112.35.8%34.8%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 69 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 19%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 14%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPCutter90.796.924.351Single
Sep 24LHPSinker93.880.4-6.092Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup87.675.57.233Single
Sep 19LHPChangeup85.299.2-8.223Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup87.462.9-43.152Out
Sep 17RHPCutter91.287.4-7.142Out
Sep 17RHPSlider89.272.228.759Single
Sep 13RHPSlider92.586.045.006Out
Sep 13LHPCutter91.088.327.082Out
Sep 13RHPFastball97.697.37.564Out
Sep 6RHPCutter86.285.9-22.068Out
Sep 5RHPFastball95.169.027.885Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511012
Sep 19311000
Sep 17311001
Sep 13400001
Sep 8400031
Sep 6100000
Sep 5423011
Sep 2200010
Aug 31100001
Aug 30414112
FormNormal
Contact rating51Average
Last 100 pitches51steady
wOBA / xwOBA.332 / .318results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.324
Barrel%5.0%
Hard-hit%26.4%
K%23.8%
BB%10.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Gary Sánchez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Gary Sánchez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Trevor Rogers: 46.2% · 1 HSep 24 vs Andrew Painter: 52.8% · 1 HSep 19Sep 24

Hits in 2 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 2BTB expected 1.0
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.6
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeCwOBA .324 · K% 23.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Andrew Painter52.8%27.2%11.7%5110
Sep 19Trevor Rogers46.2%32.5%10.8%3110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.