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Héctor Rodríguez

CIN · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Héctor Rodríguez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.214.214.643.346.28935.7%0.0%31.2%92.6108.822.2%44.4%44.4%
Last 15 G1132.188.188.375.236.28025.0%0.0%23.3%86.6108.88.3%29.2%37.5%
Last 30 G2675.286.333.571.395.31922.7%5.3%25.5%87.1115.29.4%30.2%32.1%
90 days3499.242.303.473.349.29223.2%7.1%25.4%87.7115.27.4%32.4%30.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 15%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.000.000.000.00850.0%0.0%50.0%88.888.80.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G922.227.227.227.205.17131.8%0.0%25.0%89.2110.10.0%40.0%26.7%
Last 30 G1839.179.179.256.190.16538.5%0.0%32.1%88.1110.14.2%41.7%25.0%
90 days2041.171.171.244.180.17536.6%0.0%31.8%87.4110.13.8%38.5%26.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 26 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 15%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.188.188.562.303.25437.5%0.0%34.2%92.2108.820.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1554.204.204.315.223.23527.8%0.0%24.0%87.6110.15.1%33.3%33.3%
Last 30 G30114.248.281.459.325.26628.1%3.5%27.7%87.4115.27.8%33.8%29.9%
90 days38140.220.264.402.300.25827.1%5.0%27.3%87.7115.26.4%34.0%29.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 94 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 15%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSplitter87.480.266.006Out
Sep 24RHPSplitter87.8107.818.815Double
Sep 24RHPCurveball78.7108.8272.030Home run
Sep 22RHPChangeup84.0100.1-1.361Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball79.185.827.079Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup94.074.67.273Force out
Sep 18RHPChangeup87.087.939.005Out
Sep 18RHPCutter91.989.4-23.080Force out
Sep 17LHPFastball97.488.861.016Out
Sep 17RHPFastball95.698.718.393Triple
Sep 15RHPCutter91.764.711.176Out
Sep 15RHPCutter92.075.4-11.056Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24426101
Sep 22400002
Sep 20100000
Sep 18400002
Sep 17313001
Sep 15300000
Sep 14300001
Sep 13400001
Sep 12411000
Sep 11400000
FormNormal
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.298 / .259running 38 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.308
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%24.2%
K%25.5%
BB%6.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Héctor Rodríguez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Héctor Rodríguez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Clay Holmes: 53.0% · no hitSep 22 vs JR Ritchie: 46.2% · no hitSep 24 vs Tyler Mahle: 53.8% · 2 HSep 25 vs José Soriano: 55.5% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 3BTB expected 1.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 3BTB expected 0.8
Games with a HR1 of 3BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeDwOBA .308 · K% 25.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25José Soriano55.5%30.4%8.9%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Mahle53.8%26.6%8.7%4261
Sep 22JR Ritchie46.2%27.7%9.5%4000
Sep 18Clay Holmes53.0%30.4%10.0%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.