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Ian Happ

CHC · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Ian Happ · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.278.350.500.365.28620.0%10.0%19.4%86.6104.50.0%35.7%28.6%
Last 15 G1547.237.383.474.383.35714.9%19.1%20.0%91.1104.56.7%50.0%33.3%
Last 30 G3098.274.378.512.389.34824.5%14.3%21.2%89.3109.78.5%40.7%37.3%
90 days75239.238.343.422.341.31925.1%13.4%23.9%89.1109.77.6%41.4%33.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 145 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 20%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 GNo plate appearances
Last 15 G33.000.000.000.000.13266.7%0.0%25.0%98.298.20.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 30 G89.000.111.000.078.28733.3%0.0%15.4%91.5103.90.0%60.0%40.0%
90 days3149.093.188.116.166.22536.7%6.1%31.2%83.1106.00.0%29.2%29.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 24 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 21%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 21%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.278.350.500.365.28620.0%10.0%19.4%86.6104.50.0%35.7%28.6%
Last 15 G1550.220.360.439.359.34318.0%18.0%20.2%91.3104.56.5%51.6%32.3%
Last 30 G30107.250.355.467.362.34325.2%13.1%20.8%89.4109.77.8%42.2%37.5%
90 days75288.213.317.369.313.30427.1%12.2%25.2%88.3109.76.5%39.6%32.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 169 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 20%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball96.490.9-36.054Out
Sep 24RHPFastball93.7103.116.596Triple
Sep 24RHPSweeper87.995.9-2.326Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.8104.519.717Double
Sep 23RHPCurveball77.875.78.262Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup87.143.134.120Out
Sep 23RHPSinker96.554.0-59.230Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup89.188.7-14.129Out
Sep 22RHPFastball98.381.95.312Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter80.494.142.021Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper87.6103.34.531Single
Sep 20RHPFastball94.2102.7-3.403Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24413010
Sep 23412000
Sep 22611002
Sep 20523002
Sep 19100010
Sep 18514101
Sep 16212000
Sep 15100000
Sep 14412010
Sep 13400020
FormHot
Contact rating47Average
Last 100 pitches50steady
wOBA / xwOBA.312 / .312results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.322
Barrel%4.4%
Hard-hit%23.9%
K%26.5%
BB%12.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Ian Happ · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Ian Happ · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Chase Burns: 41.9% · 1 HSep 20 vs Rhett Lowder: 49.2% · 2 HSep 22 vs Janson Junk: 48.8% · 1 HSep 23 vs Ryan Gusto: 56.2% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tyler Phillips: 54.4% · 1 HSep 25 vs Brayan Bello: 55.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 5BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB4 of 5BTB expected 1.5
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .322 · K% 26.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brayan Bello55.8%31.9%9.4%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Phillips54.4%28.9%12.6%4130
Sep 23Ryan Gusto56.2%33.4%12.1%4120
Sep 22Janson Junk48.8%31.6%10.9%6110
Sep 20Rhett Lowder49.2%37.3%12.2%5230
Sep 18Chase Burns41.9%23.1%10.1%4141
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.