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Isaac Collins

KC · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Isaac Collins · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G310.000.200.000.140.19660.0%10.0%26.3%73.276.10.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1132.077.250.115.198.23640.6%15.6%23.5%80.3103.20.0%30.8%15.4%
Last 30 G2673.131.274.180.228.23828.8%15.1%15.7%84.9110.10.0%32.5%20.0%
90 days60170.201.300.336.296.27324.1%11.8%17.1%87.9110.11.9%42.6%31.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 108 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 19%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G33.000.000.000.000.00566.7%0.0%40.0%81.981.90.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G913.125.417.125.325.33115.4%30.8%18.8%76.7104.30.0%28.6%0.0%
Last 30 G1524.235.391.294.333.35016.7%20.8%19.4%82.4105.96.7%33.3%20.0%
90 days3767.182.303.309.288.27817.9%13.4%20.2%82.8110.46.8%25.0%20.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 44 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 16%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 21%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.000.154.000.108.15261.5%7.7%29.2%76.181.90.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1545.088.295.118.233.26233.3%20.0%22.4%79.1104.30.0%30.0%10.0%
Last 30 G3097.154.302.205.253.26525.8%16.5%16.5%84.2110.11.8%32.7%20.0%
90 days69237.196.301.328.294.27422.4%12.2%18.0%86.4110.43.3%37.5%28.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 18%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 15%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball97.870.27.219Double play
Sep 23RHPSinker95.276.1-64.310Out
Sep 20LHPFastball97.881.944.016Out
Sep 17RHPCurveball82.270.9-29.051Out
Sep 17RHPFastball93.969.468.003Out
Sep 17RHPCutter91.053.860.000Out
Sep 16RHPFastball92.495.52.415Out
Sep 16LHPSinker92.195.56.484Single
Sep 13LHPCutter90.668.755.046Out
Sep 13LHPSinker92.864.868.000Out
Sep 12LHPSinker100.5104.3-5.364Out
Sep 11RHPFastball91.0103.215.675Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300002
Sep 23400012
Sep 20100000
Sep 19400003
Sep 18100001
Sep 17300000
Sep 16411011
Sep 15300012
Sep 13400020
Sep 12100000
FormCold
Contact rating18Poor
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.291 / .279results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.319
Barrel%2.4%
Hard-hit%24.3%
K%22.3%
BB%12.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Isaac Collins · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Isaac Collins · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Bubba Chandler: 41.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Bryan Hudson: 51.0% · no hitSep 24 vs David Sandlin: 49.2% · no hitSep 19Sep 24

Hits in 0 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 3BTB expected 1.4
Games with 2+ TB0 of 3BTB expected 0.7
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeDwOBA .319 · K% 22.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24David Sandlin49.2%21.2%4.6%3000
Sep 23Bryan Hudson51.0%25.8%4.1%4000
Sep 19Bubba Chandler41.9%21.3%4.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.