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Jac Caglianone

KC · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jac Caglianone · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.636.714.727.625.5557.1%14.3%17.9%97.6113.810.0%60.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1335.355.429.452.393.34225.7%8.6%26.4%95.4113.84.5%54.5%36.4%
Last 30 G2569.413.464.540.446.37923.2%7.2%27.8%94.7114.48.5%55.3%40.4%
90 days55165.340.370.545.405.37818.2%4.2%24.2%93.1115.39.4%52.0%34.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 127 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 24%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.000.143.000.100.18428.6%14.3%46.7%85.8101.60.0%25.0%0.0%
Last 15 G717.067.176.133.156.25729.4%5.9%38.5%86.8108.00.0%40.0%10.0%
Last 30 G1945.262.311.452.351.31426.7%2.2%32.4%91.6110.810.0%43.3%30.0%
90 days3682.215.244.354.271.24726.8%1.2%31.0%90.2112.25.3%45.6%22.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 18%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 2%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.412.524.471.450.43214.3%14.3%27.9%94.2113.87.1%50.0%35.7%
Last 15 G1552.261.346.348.315.31426.9%7.7%30.6%92.7113.83.1%50.0%28.1%
Last 30 G30114.352.404.505.408.35324.6%5.3%29.8%93.5114.49.1%50.6%36.4%
90 days63247.298.328.481.360.33421.1%3.2%26.6%92.2115.38.2%50.0%31.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 184 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 22%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 5%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPFastball94.690.419.481Single
Sep 23LHPSlider83.272.2-16.042Out
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.0101.6-3.370Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper81.175.1-3.088Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup86.3101.81.456Single
Sep 22RHPFastball91.9107.2221.517Double
Sep 22LHPCutter90.094.239.093Out
Sep 20RHPSinker96.6113.8-1.532Single
Sep 20RHPSweeper88.297.81.396Single
Sep 20RHPFastball93.3108.014.750Out
Sep 19RHPSlider92.396.116.698Single
Sep 19RHPFastball98.187.538.023Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411001
Sep 22523001
Sep 20422010
Sep 19522020
Sep 17300001
Sep 16100001
Sep 15400003
Sep 13300002
Sep 12100001
Sep 5111000
FormCold
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches98trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.359 / .350results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.316
Barrel%6.3%
Hard-hit%35.8%
K%21.3%
BB%4.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jac Caglianone · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jac Caglianone · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Bubba Chandler: 62.1% · 2 HSep 20 vs Lake Bachar: 62.8% · 2 HSep 22 vs Anthony Kay: 60.9% · 2 HSep 23 vs Bryan Hudson: 66.7% · 1 HSep 25 vs Gavin Williams: 62.1% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 4BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB3 of 4BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeAwOBA .316 · K% 21.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Gavin Williams62.1%35.2%11.2%not settled
Sep 23Bryan Hudson66.7%39.5%11.2%4110
Sep 22Anthony Kay60.9%34.4%9.6%5230
Sep 20Lake Bachar62.8%44.9%12.5%4220
Sep 19Bubba Chandler62.1%41.9%14.0%5220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.