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Jake Mangum

PIT · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jake Mangum · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.091.167.091.133.21133.3%8.3%16.7%92.7102.10.0%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1539.200.282.257.265.32515.4%7.7%16.1%87.5102.20.0%25.9%29.6%
Last 30 G2666.200.273.250.251.28619.7%6.1%18.5%84.5102.20.0%24.4%24.4%
90 days63189.254.317.358.312.28920.1%5.8%19.7%85.0104.91.5%29.5%31.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 132 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 20%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.200.200.800.400.24220.0%0.0%36.4%74.9102.225.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1117.188.188.438.316.43311.8%0.0%24.1%81.5106.313.3%33.3%46.7%
Last 30 G1840.167.231.278.253.32022.5%5.0%19.5%82.4106.310.7%32.1%39.3%
90 days4188.260.333.390.331.31920.5%4.5%19.0%85.2107.16.6%27.9%34.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 61 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 20%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.125.176.312.212.22029.4%5.9%22.0%86.3102.29.1%36.4%27.3%
Last 15 G1556.196.255.314.280.35714.3%5.4%18.1%85.3106.34.8%28.6%35.7%
Last 30 G30106.188.257.260.251.29920.8%5.7%18.8%83.7106.34.1%27.4%30.1%
90 days67277.256.322.368.318.29820.2%5.4%19.5%85.1107.13.1%29.0%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 193 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 20%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball89.831.875.037Out
Sep 24RHPSlider84.882.778.010Out
Sep 23LHPCurveball78.685.5-32.048Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup79.484.625.179Out
Sep 20RHPFastball98.291.2-51.200Out
Sep 19LHPSlider85.6102.2321.083Home run
Sep 19LHPCutter89.180.241.041Out
Sep 19RHPChangeup84.8102.117.459Out
Sep 16RHPSweeper79.389.8-18.131Out
Sep 16RHPFastball93.0100.22.432Out
Sep 16RHPSinker96.598.60.428Single
Sep 15RHPFastball98.396.40.433Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300001
Sep 23300002
Sep 20400011
Sep 19314100
Sep 16411001
Sep 15400000
Sep 13423010
Sep 12400001
Sep 11411000
Sep 10300000
FormHot
Contact rating34Below average
Last 100 pitches71trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.310 / .301results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.320
Barrel%2.2%
Hard-hit%21.1%
K%19.9%
BB%5.5%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jake Mangum · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jake Mangum · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Noah Cameron: 53.2% · 1 HSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 55.6% · no hitSep 23 vs Matthew Liberatore: 59.7% · no hitSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 57.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 55.2% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 4BTB expected 2.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.0
Games with a HR1 of 4BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .320 · K% 19.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe55.2%25.2%4.4%not settled
Sep 24Kyle Leahy57.6%24.3%3.5%3000
Sep 23Matthew Liberatore59.7%27.8%4.5%3000
Sep 20Michael Wacha55.6%27.3%4.8%4000
Sep 19Noah Cameron53.2%23.7%3.6%3141
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.