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Jeremy Peña

HOU · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jeremy Peña · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.188.235.312.241.24841.2%0.0%42.4%85.0105.711.1%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1545.262.311.571.371.33537.8%2.2%35.6%87.9107.712.0%40.0%44.0%
Last 30 G3094.216.266.455.317.28637.2%3.2%38.0%87.4107.711.3%35.8%37.7%
90 days60205.268.302.531.363.31430.2%2.4%33.0%89.4107.79.8%42.4%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 132 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.167.167.167.150.27633.3%0.0%28.6%90.096.10.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1020.300.300.350.288.26325.0%0.0%25.6%91.1107.40.0%33.3%40.0%
Last 30 G1733.333.333.455.344.34227.3%0.0%27.8%92.4107.48.3%37.5%45.8%
90 days3770.246.300.323.281.28128.6%5.7%30.7%90.2107.44.4%33.3%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 45 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 22%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.182.217.273.217.25539.1%0.0%38.3%86.5105.77.7%23.1%30.8%
Last 15 G1565.274.308.500.345.31333.8%1.5%32.3%89.1107.77.5%37.5%42.5%
Last 30 G30127.248.283.455.324.30134.6%2.4%35.2%89.0107.710.4%36.4%40.3%
90 days62275.263.302.479.342.30629.8%3.3%32.4%89.6107.78.5%40.1%35.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 177 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 24%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSlider86.386.436.015Out
Sep 24RHPCutter90.069.965.007Out
Sep 24RHPFastball98.086.916.909Single
Sep 24RHPFastball94.468.479.005Out
Sep 22RHPSlider86.3105.22.498Double play
Sep 22RHPSlider86.494.4-3.274Single
Sep 20LHPChangeup80.394.02.431Force out
Sep 20LHPCurveball76.578.3-5.098Out
Sep 20LHPCutter84.291.517.678Single
Sep 19RHPSlider86.8105.7241.727Triple
Sep 19LHPSlider85.196.127.451Out
Sep 18RHPSlider85.478.637.045Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511001
Sep 22511002
Sep 20511002
Sep 19413002
Sep 18400002
Sep 17525101
Sep 16434000
Sep 15439201
Sep 13200001
Sep 12400012
FormNormal
Contact rating45Average
Last 100 pitches28trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.341 / .311running 30 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.349
Barrel%5.6%
Hard-hit%26.5%
K%28.4%
BB%4.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jeremy Peña · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jeremy Peña · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Mahle: 67.3% · no hitSep 19 vs Grant Holmes: 66.6% · 1 HSep 20 vs Martín Pérez: 67.3% · 1 HSep 22 vs Logan Gilbert: 62.2% · 1 HSep 24 vs Mason Barnett: 65.9% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob Lopez: 69.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 3.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeCwOBA .349 · K% 28.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob Lopez69.9%44.8%17.3%not settled
Sep 24Mason Barnett65.9%36.2%15.5%5110
Sep 22Logan Gilbert62.2%34.6%13.0%5110
Sep 20Martín Pérez67.3%45.7%14.9%5110
Sep 19Grant Holmes66.6%42.9%13.6%4130
Sep 18Tyler Mahle67.3%38.5%12.7%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.