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Joey Ortiz

MIL · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Joey Ortiz · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.375.444.625.456.26411.1%11.1%18.8%88.9108.00.0%28.6%28.6%
Last 15 G1122.238.273.381.284.28222.7%4.5%14.3%91.4108.00.0%37.5%43.8%
Last 30 G2452.245.288.429.310.26225.0%5.8%16.1%90.1112.22.8%44.4%25.0%
90 days4180.280.325.480.347.28922.5%6.2%15.6%88.3112.23.5%38.6%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 26%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G311.091.091.091.082.11472.7%0.0%47.6%89.1101.20.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1135.382.400.500.416.29737.1%2.9%36.1%91.0109.44.8%38.1%57.1%
Last 30 G2464.367.391.533.410.29926.6%4.7%28.6%91.3109.44.5%38.6%40.9%
90 days53143.344.380.542.408.31321.0%6.3%20.2%89.3109.45.8%41.3%36.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 104 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 23%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.211.250.316.250.18145.0%5.0%35.1%89.0108.00.0%30.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1557.327.351.455.365.29131.6%3.5%27.2%91.2109.42.7%37.8%51.4%
Last 30 G30116.312.345.486.365.28225.9%5.2%22.9%90.7112.23.8%41.2%33.8%
90 days62223.320.360.519.386.30421.5%6.3%18.5%89.0112.25.0%40.4%35.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 161 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 24%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSlider87.5101.2-10.261Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper84.076.119.898Single
Sep 23RHPCutter87.190.1-20.095Double play
Sep 23LHPFastball90.3100.014.805Single
Sep 19LHPFastball93.960.347.113Out
Sep 19LHPFastball93.487.026.114Triple
Sep 18LHPSlider88.990.960.024Out
Sep 18LHPFastball91.791.661.014Out
Sep 18LHPSinker96.784.51.243Single
Sep 18LHPFastball97.1108.0-10.363Force out
Sep 17LHPSinker99.3105.0-14.246Out
Sep 17RHPSlider87.984.5-34.054Force out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411002
Sep 23411002
Sep 20400004
Sep 19313001
Sep 18511010
Sep 17511010
Sep 16411003
Sep 15434000
Sep 13314101
Sep 11544000
FormCold
Contact rating46Average
Last 100 pitches1trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.382 / .311running 71 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit11/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.342
Barrel%3.2%
Hard-hit%28.7%
K%21.1%
BB%6.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Joey Ortiz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Joey Ortiz · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Povich: 61.7% · 1 HSep 19 vs Trevor Rogers: 61.2% · 1 HSep 20 vs Brandon Young: 64.4% · no hitSep 23 vs Aaron Nola: 67.4% · 1 HSep 24 vs Andrew Painter: 61.9% · 1 HSep 25 vs Michael McGreevy: 65.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeCwOBA .342 · K% 21.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Michael McGreevy65.7%34.4%7.7%not settled
Sep 24Andrew Painter61.9%27.4%8.6%4110
Sep 23Aaron Nola67.4%35.4%10.2%4110
Sep 20Brandon Young64.4%38.1%8.9%4000
Sep 19Trevor Rogers61.2%33.3%7.9%3130
Sep 18Cade Povich61.7%32.0%9.2%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.