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José Caballero

NYY · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
José Caballero · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G33.000.333.000.233.24933.3%33.3%33.3%76.376.30.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G915.154.267.154.213.22333.3%13.3%29.4%78.399.30.0%12.5%25.0%
Last 30 G1627.200.259.240.231.21340.7%7.4%32.3%79.399.70.0%21.4%35.7%
90 days3461.207.246.241.223.21537.7%4.9%32.2%77.699.70.0%11.4%34.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 35 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 23%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.231.286.231.243.23528.6%7.1%27.3%76.3103.90.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1540.229.282.400.300.29525.0%7.5%22.7%81.6105.77.4%29.6%37.0%
Last 30 G2976.188.270.281.269.30921.1%7.9%23.1%80.6105.75.8%30.8%38.5%
90 days55141.203.263.358.284.30024.8%6.4%20.9%80.6106.66.3%30.5%36.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 95 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 19%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.200.294.200.241.23729.4%11.8%28.6%76.3103.90.0%30.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1555.208.278.333.276.27527.3%9.1%24.6%80.9105.75.7%25.7%34.3%
Last 30 G30103.191.267.270.259.28326.2%7.8%25.8%80.3105.74.5%28.8%37.9%
90 days58202.204.258.320.265.27428.7%5.9%24.6%79.8106.64.6%25.4%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 130 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball88.580.6-16.077Fielder's choice
Sep 23LHPCurveball78.076.3-35.050Force out
Sep 23RHPSinker92.381.5-2.139Out
Sep 23RHPFastball92.765.444.336Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup76.416.632.243Single
Sep 20RHPSlider85.797.023.349Out
Sep 20RHPSlider89.074.051.126Out
Sep 20RHPSinker99.269.5-3.068Double play
Sep 19RHPSinker92.6103.98.672Single
Sep 19RHPCurveball83.398.26.578Single
Sep 16RHPCutter92.499.621.464Sac fly
Sep 15RHPSweeper76.376.857.058Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300002
Sep 23400010
Sep 22311002
Sep 20400001
Sep 19322010
Sep 16100000
Sep 15511001
Sep 14425100
Sep 13300012
Sep 9300000
FormNormal
Contact rating15Poor
Last 100 pitches8trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.254 / .271running 17 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.294
Barrel%3.2%
Hard-hit%17.2%
K%28.1%
BB%7.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

José Caballero · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

José Caballero · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Brandon Pfaadt: 38.6% · 2 HSep 23 vs Mason Englert: 51.6% · no hitSep 24 vs Ian Seymour: 47.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Trevor Rogers: 49.9% · no hitSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 1.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 4BTB expected 1.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.0
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeFwOBA .294 · K% 28.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Trevor Rogers49.9%26.0%8.4%4000
Sep 24Ian Seymour47.4%21.5%7.8%3000
Sep 23Mason Englert51.6%29.0%9.5%4000
Sep 19Brandon Pfaadt38.6%25.4%6.6%3220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.