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José Fermín
STL · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handJosé Fermín · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 7 | .571 | .571 | .571 | .514 | .335 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 84.5 | 99.7 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 66.7% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 20 | .263 | .250 | .263 | .225 | .235 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 85.9 | 99.9 | 0.0% | 31.2% | 37.5% |
| Last 30 G | 20 | 42 | .282 | .286 | .410 | .295 | .272 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 12.5% | 85.4 | 107.2 | 5.6% | 33.3% | 30.6% |
| 90 days | 44 | 92 | .284 | .330 | .469 | .343 | .321 | 10.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 85.7 | 107.2 | 5.3% | 32.0% | 36.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 20%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 9%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 9 | .429 | .444 | .571 | .417 | .409 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 91.6 | 101.3 | 0.0% | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 30 | .409 | .467 | .545 | .452 | .345 | 10.0% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 84.0 | 101.3 | 0.0% | 31.8% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 27 | 63 | .278 | .333 | .352 | .346 | .275 | 15.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 84.0 | 101.3 | 0.0% | 27.7% | 42.6% |
| 90 days | 58 | 146 | .208 | .292 | .248 | .284 | .291 | 13.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 85.7 | 104.1 | 0.0% | 30.6% | 38.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 108 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 27%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 11%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 16 | .500 | .500 | .571 | .459 | .377 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 14.3% | 88.3 | 101.3 | 0.0% | 30.8% | 61.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 50 | .341 | .380 | .415 | .361 | .301 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 84.8 | 101.3 | 0.0% | 31.6% | 44.7% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 105 | .280 | .314 | .376 | .326 | .273 | 14.3% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 84.6 | 107.2 | 2.4% | 30.1% | 37.3% |
| 90 days | 68 | 238 | .238 | .306 | .335 | .307 | .303 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 85.7 | 107.2 | 2.2% | 31.1% | 37.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 183 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 24%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 10%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 93.3 | 86.5 | 77 | .009 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 95.7 | 95.9 | 14 | .877 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 95.6 | 77.5 | 15 | .686 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 93.8 | 95.7 | -3 | .291 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 93.7 | 92.2 | 18 | .560 | Double |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Changeup | 79.6 | 83.6 | 11 | .435 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Curveball | 84.3 | 99.7 | 1 | .446 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Changeup | 86.0 | 84.9 | -28 | .051 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sweeper | 81.7 | 76.6 | 27 | .433 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Changeup | 83.6 | 73.4 | 12 | .280 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sinker | 90.7 | 88.9 | 18 | .702 | Out |
| Sep 16 | RHP | Sinker | 95.7 | 101.3 | 18 | .494 | Sac fly |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FormNormal
Contact rating55Average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.302 / .322running 20 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.322
Barrel%1.9%
Hard-hit%24.0%
K%13.6%
BB%9.0%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA38.303
Avg EV2585.7
Max EV22107.2
Barrel%102.2%
Hard-hit%2131.1%
Sweet-spot%7037.7%
K%9312.6%
BB%558.8%
Whiff%9710.7%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
3 settled gamesGames with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 1.7
Games with 2+ TB3 of 3BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeBwOBA .322 · K% 13.6%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Robert Gasser | 63.3% | 34.9% | 7.8% | not settled | |||
| Sep 23 | Lake Bachar | 59.0% | 30.5% | 5.4% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Jake Irvin | 51.4% | 28.8% | 5.6% | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Andrew Alvarez | 55.1% | 32.1% | 5.4% | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |