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Julio Rodríguez

SEA · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Julio Rodríguez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.533.562.867.606.4626.2%0.0%13.3%88.7109.214.3%42.9%21.4%
Last 15 G1339.342.359.605.410.36512.8%0.0%17.1%93.2112.49.1%51.5%21.2%
Last 30 G2880.260.288.455.330.30720.0%2.5%18.8%91.8112.48.2%49.2%23.0%
90 days63183.277.328.452.342.34219.1%6.0%22.0%90.1112.49.0%43.3%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 134 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 22%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.500.600.500.500.3890.0%20.0%0.0%83.8103.40.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1226.333.462.381.394.35619.2%19.2%14.9%93.3106.26.2%56.2%31.2%
Last 30 G2351.217.294.261.258.25533.3%9.8%29.7%91.5107.26.9%51.7%27.6%
90 days47103.215.291.280.272.30730.1%9.7%26.7%90.8109.96.5%46.8%35.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 26%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.526.571.789.581.4454.8%4.8%10.3%87.6109.211.1%38.9%22.2%
Last 15 G1565.339.400.525.404.36215.4%7.7%16.3%93.3112.48.2%53.1%24.5%
Last 30 G30131.244.290.382.302.28725.2%5.3%23.4%91.7112.47.8%50.0%24.4%
90 days66286.255.315.390.317.33023.1%7.3%23.8%90.3112.48.2%44.4%33.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 196 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 24%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball97.094.7-12.183Out
Sep 24LHPSinker87.677.314.535Single
Sep 24RHPFastball96.5109.2252.007Home run
Sep 23RHPSinker93.1103.917.563Double
Sep 23RHPCutter93.681.76.351Single
Sep 23RHPSinker94.234.5-37.268Single
Sep 23RHPFastball91.578.464.005Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper82.8102.235.891Out
Sep 22LHPSlider84.292.242.005Out
Sep 22RHPCutter86.4102.6-2.391Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper83.387.011.542Single
Sep 20RHPSweeper85.199.9-14.246Double play
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24425101
Sep 23534010
Sep 22422000
Sep 20411000
Sep 19423000
Sep 18400001
Sep 16523011
Sep 15412001
Sep 14400012
Sep 13511001
FormHot
Contact rating60Average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.313 / .328results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.328
Barrel%5.6%
Hard-hit%30.4%
K%23.3%
BB%7.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Julio Rodríguez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Julio Rodríguez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gabriel Hughes: 67.8% · no hitSep 19 vs Jose Quintana: 68.0% · 2 HSep 20 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 70.0% · 1 HSep 22 vs Cristian Javier: 63.2% · 2 HSep 23 vs Ethan Pecko: 67.5% · 3 HSep 24 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 63.3% · 2 HSep 25 vs Reid Detmers: 65.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 4.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 4.0
Games with 2+ TB4 of 6BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .328 · K% 23.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Reid Detmers65.0%37.2%14.4%not settled
Sep 24Grayson Rodriguez63.3%29.4%12.5%4251
Sep 23Ethan Pecko67.5%34.8%12.0%5340
Sep 22Cristian Javier63.2%31.8%10.8%4220
Sep 20Tomoyuki Sugano70.0%46.6%14.4%4110
Sep 19Jose Quintana68.0%42.7%13.0%4230
Sep 18Gabriel Hughes67.8%36.3%11.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.