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Justin Crawford

PHI · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Justin Crawford · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.182.182.364.227.18536.4%0.0%9.1%84.697.60.0%28.6%42.9%
Last 15 G1537.212.250.303.256.27118.9%5.4%14.9%85.0103.50.0%37.0%37.0%
Last 30 G3081.243.295.300.279.27914.8%7.4%12.9%85.8104.60.0%40.3%25.8%
90 days66186.277.311.355.314.29512.9%5.4%12.2%86.0109.20.7%40.7%28.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 150 balls in play
Ground 65%Line drive 17%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G33.000.000.000.000.05833.3%0.0%0.0%78.086.40.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G78.375.375.875.519.49412.5%0.0%6.7%84.6104.728.6%28.6%28.6%
Last 30 G78.375.375.875.519.49412.5%0.0%6.7%84.6104.728.6%28.6%28.6%
90 days1722.400.455.600.457.38813.6%4.5%13.2%80.4104.711.8%17.6%35.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 17 balls in play
Ground 65%Line drive 18%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.143.143.286.179.15835.7%0.0%8.0%83.297.60.0%22.2%33.3%
Last 15 G1545.244.273.415.305.31217.8%4.4%13.4%85.0104.75.9%35.3%35.3%
Last 30 G3089.256.302.359.302.29914.6%6.7%12.3%85.7104.72.9%39.1%26.1%
90 days67208.290.327.382.330.30513.0%5.3%12.3%85.4109.21.8%38.3%29.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 167 balls in play
Ground 65%Line drive 17%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 4%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCutter90.197.68.639Out
Sep 23RHPFastball92.596.810.708Single
Sep 23RHPChangeup83.875.349.075Out
Sep 22LHPSinker92.586.4-46.132Out
Sep 20RHPCutter90.280.2-3.111Out
Sep 20RHPFastball96.393.020.287Triple
Sep 20RHPCutter89.990.1-26.060Out
Sep 19RHPCutter90.059.545.153Out
Sep 19LHPSinker97.869.5-20.042Out
Sep 17RHPCutter90.965.7-46.227Single
Sep 17RHPCutter91.333.9-20–Sac bunt
Sep 17RHPSplitter80.889.946.004Sac fly
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24200001
Sep 23211000
Sep 22200001
Sep 20413001
Sep 19400002
Sep 17411000
Sep 16412010
Sep 13411010
Sep 12314100
Sep 11211000
FormCold
Contact rating24Poor
Last 100 pitches55trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.306 / .290running 16 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDPower type
wOBA.323
Barrel%2.8%
Hard-hit%29.2%
K%14.6%
BB%6.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Justin Crawford · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Justin Crawford · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Christian Scott: 54.8% · no hitSep 20 vs Jonah Tong: 55.0% · 1 HSep 22 vs Dustin May: 56.2% · no hitSep 23 vs Logan Henderson: 62.6% · 1 HSep 24 vs Shane Drohan: 59.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Freddy Peralta: 59.6% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeDwOBA .323 · K% 14.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Freddy Peralta59.6%29.4%6.3%not settled
Sep 24Shane Drohan59.4%24.9%4.9%2000
Sep 23Logan Henderson62.6%30.8%7.4%2110
Sep 22Dustin May56.2%27.3%7.3%2000
Sep 20Jonah Tong55.0%28.4%5.8%4130
Sep 19Christian Scott54.8%26.7%5.9%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.