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Kyle Karros

COL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Kyle Karros · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.125.263.125.205.25926.3%15.8%33.3%97.6110.70.0%54.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1548.186.271.256.245.28422.9%8.3%26.0%90.2110.76.2%37.5%34.4%
Last 30 G2990.231.322.282.284.30822.2%10.0%18.1%90.1110.75.2%37.9%34.5%
90 days46140.254.343.443.353.33920.7%10.0%21.2%91.1110.78.6%40.9%35.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 93 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 16%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G13.667.6671.667.967.70733.3%0.0%40.0%92.2107.850.0%50.0%100.0%
Last 15 G614.308.3571.000.543.50921.4%7.1%30.0%91.9109.130.0%40.0%60.0%
Last 30 G1535.312.371.719.453.40714.3%5.7%20.0%86.5109.114.8%25.9%63.0%
90 days3069.281.406.544.413.38817.4%13.0%22.7%87.0109.113.3%31.1%55.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 45 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.211.318.368.309.32027.3%13.6%34.4%96.8110.77.7%53.8%46.2%
Last 15 G1562.214.290.429.312.33522.6%8.1%26.8%90.6110.711.9%38.1%40.5%
Last 30 G30125.255.336.409.332.33620.0%8.8%18.6%89.0110.78.2%34.1%43.5%
90 days50209.263.364.475.372.35519.6%11.0%21.7%89.7110.710.1%37.7%42.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 138 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 20%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.2107.8221.608Home run
Sep 24LHPFastball91.176.626.513Single
Sep 24RHPSlider88.494.229.201Out
Sep 24RHPSinker94.397.3-19.125Out
Sep 23RHPCutter90.688.541.004Out
Sep 23RHPSinker96.9100.7-13.181Single
Sep 22RHPCutter90.789.849.008Out
Sep 22RHPSlider88.1104.9-3.382Force out
Sep 19RHPSlider87.581.431.093Out
Sep 19RHPSinker97.391.6-33.047Force out
Sep 18RHPSinker95.3110.78.703Single
Sep 18RHPFastball97.5106.516.737Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24525101
Sep 23411011
Sep 22400002
Sep 19400020
Sep 18511002
Sep 17411001
Sep 16414110
Sep 15511010
Sep 14523000
Sep 12511001
FormHot
Contact rating85Excellent
Last 100 pitches76trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.367 / .358results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.328
Barrel%4.4%
Hard-hit%23.8%
K%20.6%
BB%10.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Kyle Karros · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Kyle Karros · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Bryan Woo: 58.0% · 1 HSep 19 vs Bryce Miller: 58.5% · no hitSep 20 vs Kade Anderson: 59.1% · not settledSep 22 vs Michael Soroka: 55.0% · no hitSep 23 vs Merrill Kelly: 62.7% · 1 HSep 24 vs Eduardo Rodriguez: 59.2% · 2 HSep 25 vs Sean Burke: 58.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeCwOBA .328 · K% 20.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Sean Burke58.4%31.5%10.3%not settled
Sep 24Eduardo Rodriguez59.2%29.9%11.3%5251
Sep 23Merrill Kelly62.7%35.7%11.6%4110
Sep 22Michael Soroka55.0%31.5%9.6%4000
Sep 20Kade Anderson59.1%39.2%11.2%not settled
Sep 19Bryce Miller58.5%35.7%11.2%4000
Sep 18Bryan Woo58.0%31.1%10.2%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.