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Kyle Tucker

LAD · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Kyle Tucker · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.286.286.286.257.1950.0%0.0%0.0%73.891.50.0%0.0%28.6%
Last 15 G918.412.4441.000.592.4295.6%5.6%0.0%86.4104.018.8%43.8%43.8%
Last 30 G2040.229.325.543.390.35012.5%12.5%10.0%85.5108.610.0%36.7%43.3%
90 days49100.278.350.467.382.34115.0%10.0%10.8%88.6108.69.6%39.7%42.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 25%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.222.300.222.250.25510.0%10.0%5.0%85.9101.00.0%25.0%37.5%
Last 15 G1439.344.436.656.454.37810.3%15.4%9.1%88.5106.213.8%27.6%44.8%
Last 30 G2981.258.370.455.359.3487.4%16.0%13.4%88.8106.28.1%30.6%38.7%
90 days70193.216.326.383.320.34811.4%14.0%16.5%88.0107.76.3%30.8%35.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 143 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 20%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.250.294.250.253.2305.9%5.9%3.2%80.3101.00.0%13.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1557.367.439.776.497.3948.8%12.3%6.5%87.8106.215.6%33.3%44.4%
Last 30 G30121.248.355.485.369.3499.1%14.9%12.3%87.7108.68.7%32.6%40.2%
90 days74293.238.334.413.341.34612.6%12.6%14.7%88.2108.67.4%33.8%38.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 216 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 22%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 13%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball79.791.135.039Out
Sep 24LHPSlider84.285.8-13.083Out
Sep 24LHPSinker100.778.253.063Out
Sep 23LHPSinker92.672.731.455Single
Sep 23LHPSinker93.578.824.596Single
Sep 23LHPSinker89.746.1-6.135Out
Sep 23LHPSinker99.763.861.003Out
Sep 22RHPSinker94.4101.013.915Single
Sep 22RHPSlider89.392.2-8.195Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup88.748.8-55.202Out
Sep 22LHPSinker97.391.539.028Out
Sep 20RHPCutter95.482.131.077Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400001
Sep 23422000
Sep 22411000
Sep 20100000
Sep 19411010
Sep 18425110
Sep 17549100
Sep 16411000
Sep 15400021
Sep 14414120
FormNormal
Contact rating79Above average
Last 100 pitches88trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.328 / .346running 18 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.345
Barrel%5.4%
Hard-hit%25.3%
K%12.9%
BB%12.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Kyle Tucker · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Kyle Tucker · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cesar Perdomo: 55.6% · 2 HSep 19 vs Yunior Marte: 54.5% · 1 HSep 22 vs Michael King: 56.5% · 1 HSep 23 vs Robbie Ray: 60.6% · 2 HSep 24 vs Nick Pivetta: 59.5% · no hitSep 25 vs Yunior Marte: 62.1% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.8
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .345 · K% 12.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Yunior Marte62.1%37.6%12.7%not settled
Sep 24Nick Pivetta59.5%34.4%15.4%4000
Sep 23Robbie Ray60.6%36.2%12.3%4220
Sep 22Michael King56.5%39.4%15.0%4110
Sep 19Yunior Marte54.5%38.4%13.0%4110
Sep 18Cesar Perdomo55.6%36.0%12.1%4251
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.