Lazaro Montes

SEA · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 26 · 8:40 PM CTvs Ryan Johnson RHPLAA @ SEA1+ hit 54.2%2+ TB 31.9%HR 14.2%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand

Lazaro Montes · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	12	.100	.250	.100	.192	.171	50.0%	16.7%	33.3%	96.8	104.4	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%
Last 15 G	15	28	.250	.357	.667	.423	.402	46.4%	14.3%	42.2%	95.6	116.1	27.3%	63.6%	36.4%
Last 30 G	19	39	.265	.359	.647	.419	.378	46.2%	12.8%	42.0%	94.0	116.1	25.0%	56.2%	37.5%
90 days	19	39	.265	.359	.647	.419	.378	46.2%	12.8%	42.0%	94.0	116.1	25.0%	56.2%	37.5%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 16 balls in play

Ground 31%Line drive 25%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 13%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	4	6	.167	.167	.167	.150	.240	33.3%	0.0%	40.0%	81.8	103.0	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Last 15 G	8	11	.091	.091	.091	.082	.148	36.4%	0.0%	36.8%	83.4	103.0	0.0%	28.6%	28.6%
Last 30 G	11	14	.071	.071	.071	.064	.126	35.7%	0.0%	30.4%	82.7	103.0	0.0%	22.2%	22.2%
90 days	11	14	.071	.071	.071	.064	.126	35.7%	0.0%	30.4%	82.7	103.0	0.0%	22.2%	22.2%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 9 balls in play

Ground 33%Line drive 22%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 33%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	18	.125	.222	.125	.178	.194	44.4%	11.1%	35.3%	89.2	104.4	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Last 15 G	15	39	.200	.282	.486	.327	.330	43.6%	10.3%	41.0%	90.8	116.1	16.7%	50.0%	33.3%
Last 30 G	19	53	.208	.283	.479	.325	.312	43.4%	9.4%	39.6%	89.9	116.1	16.0%	44.0%	32.0%
90 days	19	53	.208	.283	.479	.325	.312	43.4%	9.4%	39.6%	89.9	116.1	16.0%	44.0%	32.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play

Ground 32%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 20%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 24	RHP	Changeup	82.9	104.4	2	.500	Single
Sep 24	RHP	Changeup	82.7	93.0	-11	.135	Double play
Sep 24	LHP	Sinker	88.1	32.4	24	.263	Single
Sep 23	LHP	Cutter	86.9	103.0	44	.194	Out
Sep 22	RHP	Sweeper	80.8	96.8	54	.011	Out
Sep 22	RHP	Sweeper	84.1	92.8	55	.005	Out
Sep 19	LHP	Sinker	88.2	101.2	10	.816	Out
Sep 19	LHP	Sinker	89.0	90.4	-4	.168	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Curveball	78.3	104.9	15	.712	Out
Sep 18	LHP	Slider	85.1	94.9	61	.014	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Slider	83.9	107.6	38	1.499	Home run
Sep 15	RHP	Sweeper	81.0	55.5	-64	.166	Single

Total bases, last 10 games★ home run

012

013

014

115

4★18

019

020

022

023

224

Last 10 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	HR	BB	K
Sep 24	4	2	2	0	0	1
Sep 23	3	0	0	0	1	1
Sep 22	4	0	0	0	0	2
Sep 20	3	0	0	0	1	2
Sep 19	4	0	0	0	0	2
Sep 18	4	1	4	1	0	1
Sep 15	2	1	1	0	0	1
Sep 14	1	0	0	0	1	0
Sep 13	1	0	0	0	0	1
Sep 12	1	0	0	0	1	0

FormNormal

Contact rating52Average

Last 100 pitches4trending down

wOBA / xwOBA.327 / .318results in line with his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit4/12

2+ total bases3/12

Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent

Talent gradeAvgBalanced type

wOBA.317

Barrel%5.5%

Hard-hit%24.9%

K%27.3%

BB%8.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Lazaro Montes · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled

Hits in 2 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games

Games with a hit2 of 6BTB expected 3.2

Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 2.0

Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.8

Talent gradeNeuwOBA .317 · K% 27.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.
Date	Facing	1+ hit	2+ TB	HR	PA	H	TB	HR
Sep 24	Grayson Rodriguez	50.1%	24.9%	13.1%	4	2	2	0
Sep 23	Ethan Pecko	55.1%	32.3%	14.4%	3	0	0	0
Sep 22	Cristian Javier	47.3%	29.5%	13.3%	4	0	0	0
Sep 20	Tomoyuki Sugano	58.4%	46.7%	17.6%	3	0	0	0
Sep 19	Jose Quintana	55.3%	37.0%	12.9%	4	0	0	0
Sep 18	Gabriel Hughes	53.8%	32.7%	13.1%	4	1	4	1