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Luis García Jr.

NYY · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Luis García Jr. · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.111.158.111.132.14426.3%5.3%22.9%82.898.10.0%7.7%30.8%
Last 15 G1552.216.231.353.253.28425.0%1.9%22.9%88.8109.613.2%42.1%36.8%
Last 30 G3095.267.305.489.341.33023.2%5.3%23.1%90.4111.611.8%47.1%33.8%
90 days70221.313.339.621.408.37720.8%4.1%18.6%92.6114.016.9%51.8%40.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 166 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 27%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%100.0%–––––
Last 15 G45.200.200.200.180.05460.0%0.0%14.3%82.793.60.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G1320.350.350.400.332.29925.0%0.0%25.0%92.0111.113.3%40.0%33.3%
90 days3558.204.259.278.244.22117.2%6.9%21.0%83.6111.16.8%22.7%20.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 44 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 11%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 18%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.105.150.105.125.13730.0%5.0%25.0%82.898.10.0%7.7%30.8%
Last 15 G1557.214.228.339.246.26428.1%1.8%22.3%88.5109.612.5%40.0%35.0%
Last 30 G30115.282.313.473.340.32423.5%4.3%23.4%90.6111.612.0%45.8%33.7%
90 days70279.291.323.551.374.34420.1%4.7%19.1%90.7114.014.8%45.7%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 210 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCutter85.673.955.077Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball74.490.96.432Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup89.072.0-14.040Out
Sep 22RHPSinker93.684.231.058Out
Sep 22RHPSinker92.389.028.115Out
Sep 22RHPCutter89.394.440.030Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup83.660.5-17.039Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup85.594.716.636Single
Sep 20RHPCutter91.089.631.060Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter89.098.1-3.293Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup91.051.8-72.171Out
Sep 19RHPChangeup87.087.0-20.065Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23511012
Sep 22400001
Sep 22300001
Sep 20411000
Sep 19400002
Sep 16400003
Sep 15511001
Sep 14400001
Sep 13300000
Sep 11433000
FormCold
Contact rating81Excellent
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.377 / .353running 24 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.352
Barrel%9.8%
Hard-hit%34.1%
K%19.8%
BB%4.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Luis García Jr. · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Luis García Jr. · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Brandon Pfaadt: 70.9% · no hitSep 22 vs Drew Rasmussen: 67.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Mason Englert: 69.1% · 1 HSep 19Sep 23

Hits in 1 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 2.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 3BTB expected 2.1
Games with 2+ TB0 of 3BTB expected 1.5
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .352 · K% 19.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 23Mason Englert69.1%48.5%22.5%5110
Sep 22Drew Rasmussen67.1%48.8%17.2%4000
Sep 19Brandon Pfaadt70.9%55.5%17.5%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.