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Luis Lara
MIL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handLuis Lara · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 9 | .111 | .111 | .111 | .100 | .165 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 82.4 | 99.1 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 31 | .200 | .226 | .233 | .208 | .232 | 22.6% | 3.2% | 14.8% | 81.9 | 104.9 | 0.0% | 26.1% | 21.7% |
| Last 30 G | 24 | 55 | .264 | .291 | .340 | .296 | .251 | 18.2% | 3.6% | 12.0% | 86.1 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 32.6% | 27.9% |
| 90 days | 35 | 70 | .227 | .271 | .303 | .271 | .267 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 12.8% | 87.9 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 38.9% | 27.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 54 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 24%Fly ball 9%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 11 | .200 | .273 | .200 | .227 | .319 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 80.6 | 100.8 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 44.4% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 31 | .185 | .258 | .185 | .213 | .234 | 29.0% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 85.0 | 106.6 | 0.0% | 36.8% | 31.6% |
| Last 30 G | 25 | 64 | .259 | .312 | .328 | .288 | .299 | 26.6% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 88.4 | 106.6 | 7.1% | 52.4% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 46 | 135 | .261 | .333 | .345 | .308 | .309 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 87.7 | 106.6 | 5.7% | 42.0% | 44.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 88 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 33%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 2%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .158 | .200 | .158 | .170 | .250 | 20.0% | 5.0% | 15.2% | 81.3 | 100.8 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 62 | .193 | .242 | .211 | .210 | .233 | 25.8% | 4.8% | 13.3% | 83.3 | 106.6 | 0.0% | 31.0% | 26.2% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 119 | .261 | .303 | .333 | .292 | .277 | 22.7% | 5.0% | 13.6% | 87.3 | 107.7 | 3.5% | 42.4% | 35.3% |
| 90 days | 55 | 205 | .249 | .312 | .330 | .295 | .295 | 21.5% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 87.8 | 107.7 | 3.5% | 40.8% | 38.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 142 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 30%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 4%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 95.8 | 88.4 | 30 | .064 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 95.1 | 95.8 | 16 | .698 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Changeup | 88.6 | 76.6 | -45 | .114 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Sinker | 95.9 | 81.3 | 22 | .620 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Sinker | 93.7 | 99.1 | -21 | .142 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 95.7 | 100.8 | 17 | .557 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 100.0 | 74.2 | 20 | .878 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sinker | 97.5 | 94.7 | -28 | .071 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sweeper | 78.3 | 77.9 | 59 | .026 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Fastball | 90.6 | 87.5 | 60 | .015 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Changeup | 85.1 | 58.6 | -61 | .240 | Single |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Splitter | 84.4 | 90.1 | 6 | .444 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
FormCold
Contact rating32Below average
Last 100 pitches15trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.293 / .299results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.304
Barrel%3.4%
Hard-hit%27.7%
K%21.7%
BB%8.2%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA32.295
Avg EV4787.8
Max EV27107.7
Barrel%213.5%
Hard-hit%6140.8%
Sweet-spot%7338.0%
K%5421.5%
BB%478.3%
Whiff%8715.4%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
4 settled gamesGames with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.1
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.0
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeDwOBA .304 · K% 21.7%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Michael McGreevy | 61.3% | 31.2% | 6.3% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Andrew Painter | 58.6% | 27.0% | 6.8% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Zack Wheeler | 48.4% | 22.6% | 6.7% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Trevor Rogers | 52.6% | 26.6% | 5.8% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Cade Povich | 53.0% | 26.3% | 7.1% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |