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Maikel Garcia

KC · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Maikel Garcia · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G411.125.364.250.305.27618.2%27.3%20.0%90.1101.30.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G923.211.348.368.324.28513.0%17.4%16.1%89.8101.30.0%25.0%37.5%
Last 30 G923.211.348.368.324.28513.0%17.4%16.1%89.8101.30.0%25.0%37.5%
90 days923.211.348.368.324.28513.0%17.4%16.1%89.8101.30.0%25.0%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 16 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 19%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.500.571.667.536.4120.0%14.3%0.0%83.996.30.0%16.7%50.0%
Last 15 G818.353.389.471.378.33711.1%5.6%8.3%85.298.70.0%33.3%40.0%
Last 30 G818.353.389.471.378.33711.1%5.6%8.3%85.298.70.0%33.3%40.0%
90 days818.353.389.471.378.33711.1%5.6%8.3%85.298.70.0%33.3%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 15 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 33%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.286.444.429.394.32911.1%22.2%13.0%87.0101.30.0%25.0%41.7%
Last 15 G1141.278.366.417.348.30812.2%12.2%12.7%87.5101.30.0%29.0%38.7%
Last 30 G1141.278.366.417.348.30812.2%12.2%12.7%87.5101.30.0%29.0%38.7%
90 days1141.278.366.417.348.30812.2%12.2%12.7%87.5101.30.0%29.0%38.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 31 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 26%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 3%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSlider83.696.320.360Double
Sep 23LHPFastball94.392.514.889Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper79.090.1-10.158Single
Sep 22LHPCutter91.891.627.140Out
Sep 22LHPSinker95.264.2-41.131Out
Sep 20RHPSlider87.291.3-21.097Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper83.795.1-9.195Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper88.9101.3-6.258Out
Sep 19LHPFastball99.468.840.505Out
Sep 18RHPFastball95.688.827.069Out
Sep 18RHPSinker95.090.021.313Double
Sep 18RHPSweeper83.074.382.007Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23434010
Sep 22500030
Sep 20400001
Sep 19100000
Sep 18412001
Sep 17400000
Sep 15400011
Aug 20112000
Aug 19524000
Aug 18411001
FormCold
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.350 / .308running 42 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/11
2+ total bases5/11
Home run0/11

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.344
Barrel%3.8%
Hard-hit%30.5%
K%15.3%
BB%9.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Maikel Garcia · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Paul Skenes: 54.6% · 1 HSep 20 vs Lake Bachar: 58.6% · no hitSep 22 vs Anthony Kay: 57.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Bryan Hudson: 61.4% · 3 HSep 25 vs Gavin Williams: 58.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.3
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeBwOBA .344 · K% 15.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Gavin Williams58.8%30.2%5.3%not settled
Sep 23Bryan Hudson61.4%36.3%6.5%4340
Sep 22Anthony Kay57.1%33.6%7.0%5000
Sep 20Lake Bachar58.6%37.9%6.2%4000
Sep 18Paul Skenes54.6%27.5%5.2%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.