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Marcus Semien

NYM · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Marcus Semien · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.100.182.400.245.3360.0%9.1%19.0%92.4100.910.0%60.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1221.211.286.368.290.2879.5%9.5%21.1%92.2100.95.9%52.9%29.4%
Last 30 G2137.176.243.265.232.26213.5%8.1%22.7%88.7100.93.4%37.9%34.5%
90 days3768.190.294.345.300.28919.1%13.2%23.6%88.8105.34.3%39.1%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 46 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 17%Fly ball 39%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.125.300.125.230.25210.0%20.0%15.4%83.1100.10.0%28.6%28.6%
Last 15 G1443.211.279.289.278.2782.3%9.3%5.6%86.8105.92.6%31.6%34.2%
Last 30 G2985.274.365.329.340.3174.7%11.8%12.3%87.0105.91.4%30.0%28.6%
90 days55153.232.301.341.305.28113.1%8.5%18.9%86.9105.91.7%30.3%31.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 119 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 16%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.111.238.278.238.2964.8%14.3%17.6%88.6100.95.9%47.1%29.4%
Last 15 G1564.211.281.316.282.2814.7%9.4%10.9%88.5105.93.6%38.2%32.7%
Last 30 G30122.243.328.308.307.3017.4%10.7%16.0%87.5105.92.0%32.3%30.3%
90 days57221.219.299.342.304.28314.9%10.0%20.4%87.4105.92.4%32.7%31.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 165 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 16%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSinker92.780.034.049Out
Sep 23LHPFastball88.597.538.265Out
Sep 23LHPFastball90.085.747.003Out
Sep 23LHPFastball94.4100.9291.134Home run
Sep 23LHPFastball91.594.9-15.163Out
Sep 22LHPFastball95.596.217.504Out
Sep 22LHPFastball93.797.6-5.304Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter87.661.3-7.073Force out
Sep 22RHPSlider87.9100.118.442Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper83.090.736.037Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup87.275.9-5.114Out
Sep 20LHPSinker94.595.271.000Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300011
Sep 23414100
Sep 22500000
Sep 20400000
Sep 19511020
Sep 18411000
Sep 16411000
Sep 15512010
Sep 14411000
Sep 12511000
FormNormal
Contact rating35Below average
Last 100 pitches21trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.306 / .302results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCContact type
wOBA.304
Barrel%2.8%
Hard-hit%24.6%
K%15.6%
BB%9.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Marcus Semien · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Marcus Semien · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tim Mayza: 53.8% · 1 HSep 19 vs Andrew Painter: 56.5% · 1 HSep 20 vs Cristopher Sánchez: 56.7% · no hitSep 23 vs Cody Bradford: 62.2% · 1 HSep 24 vs Kumar Rocker: 58.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Andrew Alvarez: 59.2% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeCwOBA .304 · K% 15.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Andrew Alvarez59.2%31.4%8.7%not settled
Sep 24Kumar Rocker58.6%27.3%9.9%3000
Sep 23Cody Bradford62.2%31.9%8.6%4141
Sep 20Cristopher Sánchez56.7%29.2%7.1%4000
Sep 19Andrew Painter56.5%28.7%7.3%5110
Sep 18Tim Mayza53.8%24.9%7.5%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.