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Michael Busch
CHC · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handMichael Busch · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 18 | .267 | .389 | .267 | .319 | .372 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 89.1 | 103.5 | 11.1% | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 51 | .250 | .392 | .350 | .344 | .354 | 29.4% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 87.5 | 104.9 | 11.5% | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 97 | .218 | .361 | .372 | .337 | .342 | 28.9% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 90.2 | 109.0 | 11.8% | 43.1% | 37.3% |
| 90 days | 73 | 247 | .238 | .332 | .360 | .313 | .309 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 25.1% | 87.9 | 109.2 | 6.5% | 38.6% | 38.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 153 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 24%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 10%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 5 | .500 | .600 | 1.250 | .900 | .616 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 92.8 | 104.8 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Last 15 G | 7 | 11 | .375 | .545 | .750 | .680 | .575 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 23.1% | 90.3 | 104.8 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 16 | 33 | .214 | .333 | .500 | .397 | .359 | 24.2% | 12.1% | 26.5% | 88.5 | 104.8 | 10.5% | 42.1% | 31.6% |
| 90 days | 50 | 92 | .244 | .326 | .500 | .372 | .330 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 20.3% | 89.3 | 104.8 | 8.3% | 35.0% | 36.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 20%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 23 | .316 | .435 | .474 | .457 | .430 | 30.4% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 90.1 | 104.8 | 16.7% | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 62 | .271 | .419 | .417 | .401 | .391 | 25.8% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 88.0 | 104.9 | 12.5% | 37.5% | 40.6% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 130 | .217 | .354 | .406 | .352 | .346 | 27.7% | 16.2% | 24.6% | 89.7 | 109.0 | 11.4% | 42.9% | 35.7% |
| 90 days | 76 | 339 | .240 | .330 | .399 | .329 | .315 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 23.9% | 88.3 | 109.2 | 7.0% | 37.6% | 38.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 213 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 23%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 9%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 96.2 | 99.1 | 29 | .756 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 98.7 | 93.6 | 29 | .201 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Splitter | 84.7 | 87.3 | 39 | .020 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 85.9 | 95.4 | 11 | .802 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 95.9 | 83.3 | 20 | .754 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sweeper | 80.6 | 69.4 | 65 | .007 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 85.6 | 102.8 | 13 | .904 | Single |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 92.6 | 92.1 | -6 | .168 | Fielder's choice |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Changeup | 87.0 | 103.5 | 3 | .534 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 96.9 | 67.9 | 40 | .479 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Curveball | 81.0 | 104.8 | 29 | 1.694 | Home run |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sinker | 92.5 | 81.5 | 23 | .490 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
FormNormal
Contact rating57Average
Last 100 pitches98trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.326 / .325results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.340
Barrel%5.2%
Hard-hit%24.4%
K%24.3%
BB%10.4%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA49.315
Avg EV5288.3
Max EV45109.2
Barrel%547.0%
Hard-hit%4437.6%
Sweet-spot%7338.0%
K%3724.5%
BB%7610.6%
Whiff%3923.9%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
6 settled gamesGames with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.5
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.9
Talent gradeCwOBA .340 · K% 24.3%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Brayan Bello | 60.3% | 34.2% | 10.9% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Tyler Phillips | 60.2% | 33.3% | 15.8% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Ryan Gusto | 63.7% | 39.3% | 16.6% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Janson Junk | 59.4% | 39.7% | 14.9% | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Rhett Lowder | 59.1% | 43.8% | 16.4% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Nick Lodolo | 53.5% | 33.5% | 12.3% | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | Chase Burns | 53.6% | 31.3% | 13.9% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |