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Michael Harris II

ATL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Michael Harris II · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.333.385.500.454.3910.0%7.7%13.0%89.0110.816.7%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1441.250.268.450.329.3439.8%2.4%15.2%90.6110.811.1%41.7%38.9%
Last 30 G2781.286.312.545.391.35416.0%3.7%19.2%89.5110.810.8%44.6%40.0%
90 days71218.281.300.486.346.31019.7%2.8%20.7%90.9110.86.5%48.2%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 168 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 20%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.143.250.143.200.3790.0%12.5%27.8%89.0110.30.0%57.1%28.6%
Last 15 G1123.381.435.381.374.36813.0%8.7%24.4%88.7110.30.0%38.9%44.4%
Last 30 G2141.289.325.368.338.30719.5%4.9%21.7%84.5110.30.0%38.7%41.9%
90 days57113.276.312.429.335.31914.2%4.4%19.8%83.8112.84.4%38.9%32.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 90 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 23%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.263.333.368.357.3860.0%9.5%19.5%89.0110.810.5%52.6%26.3%
Last 15 G1564.295.328.426.345.35210.9%4.7%18.5%90.0110.87.4%40.7%40.7%
Last 30 G30122.287.317.487.373.33917.2%4.1%20.1%87.8110.87.3%42.7%40.6%
90 days79331.279.304.467.342.31317.8%3.3%20.4%88.4112.85.8%45.0%32.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 258 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker90.836.3-73.223Single
Sep 24RHPFastball98.6100.637.521Out
Sep 24RHPSinker89.4110.312.886Double
Sep 24RHPFastball94.0101.9241.020Out
Sep 24RHPFastball95.596.3-32.085Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper83.696.725.387Out
Sep 23LHPFastball91.074.8-1.129Out
Sep 23LHPSweeper82.999.342.102Out
Sep 23RHPCutter97.196.4-10.278Out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.8107.710.876Single
Sep 22LHPSlider87.261.6-1.091Force out
Sep 22LHPSinker93.8110.34.605Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24534000
Sep 23400000
Sep 22423000
Sep 20400020
Sep 19400000
Sep 18536101
Sep 16411001
Sep 15400001
Sep 14422000
Sep 13533002
FormNormal
Contact rating61Average
Last 100 pitches97trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.344 / .328running 16 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Michael Harris II · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Michael Harris II · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Peter Lambert: 64.1% · 3 HSep 19 vs Hayden Wesneski: 66.6% · no hitSep 20 vs Hunter Brown: 62.8% · no hitSep 22 vs Brandon Williamson: 63.4% · 2 HSep 23 vs Andrew Abbott: 67.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Brady Singer: 63.8% · 3 HSep 25 vs Eury Pérez: 65.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.9
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.4
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.7
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Eury Pérez65.7%39.0%12.4%not settled
Sep 24Brady Singer63.8%36.4%15.1%5340
Sep 23Andrew Abbott67.3%39.8%11.1%4000
Sep 22Brandon Williamson63.4%39.1%10.8%4230
Sep 20Hunter Brown62.8%41.6%12.0%4000
Sep 19Hayden Wesneski66.6%44.6%13.3%4000
Sep 18Peter Lambert64.1%37.3%12.3%5361
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.