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Mickey Gasper

BOS · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Mickey Gasper · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.100.100.400.200.19040.0%0.0%26.7%90.7104.016.7%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1538.156.289.344.287.30718.4%13.2%18.0%89.9105.512.0%36.0%28.0%
Last 30 G3089.300.449.743.489.46415.7%16.9%17.4%90.5106.419.6%44.6%41.1%
90 days3193.297.441.757.489.46815.1%16.1%16.8%90.7106.420.0%43.3%41.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 28%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G12.000.500.000.350.34950.0%50.0%40.0%–––––
Last 15 G56.000.333.000.233.25616.7%33.3%18.2%79.381.90.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G89.000.333.000.233.25411.1%33.3%18.8%81.485.90.0%0.0%0.0%
90 days910.000.300.000.210.25810.0%30.0%16.7%80.285.90.0%0.0%0.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 6 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 0%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 33%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.091.167.364.225.21741.7%8.3%30.0%90.7104.016.7%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1544.139.295.306.280.30018.2%15.9%18.0%88.8105.510.7%32.1%25.0%
Last 30 G3098.276.439.684.465.44515.3%18.4%17.5%89.7106.418.0%41.0%37.7%
90 days31103.272.427.691.462.44814.6%17.5%16.8%89.7106.418.2%39.4%37.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 26%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball98.5101.253.019Out
Sep 23RHPSinker93.383.7-33.044Out
Sep 22RHPSlider89.0104.0281.639Home run
Sep 20RHPCutter87.587.263.008Out
Sep 19RHPFastball97.993.525.185Out
Sep 19RHPFastball96.274.883.007Out
Sep 18RHPChangeup88.094.4-14.117Single
Sep 18RHPChangeup87.586.524.157Out
Sep 17LHPSinker91.081.972.004Out
Sep 17RHPSweeper82.856.7-39.102Out
Sep 16RHPFastball93.098.1-19.125Out
Sep 15RHPSlider90.7105.514.739Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300011
Sep 23100000
Sep 22114100
Sep 20300002
Sep 19400002
Sep 18211000
Sep 17200000
Sep 16100000
Sep 15311011
Sep 12411000
FormCold
Contact rating100Elite
Last 100 pitches13trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.463 / .462results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.333
Barrel%5.7%
Hard-hit%24.3%
K%17.9%
BB%11.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Mickey Gasper · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Mickey Gasper · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Freddy Peralta: 60.4% · no hitSep 20 vs Griffin Jax: 57.1% · no hitSep 24 vs Daniel Espino: 58.2% · no hitSep 25 vs Clay Holmes: 62.3% · no hitSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 0 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.5
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeBwOBA .333 · K% 17.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Clay Holmes62.3%35.8%9.9%3000
Sep 24Daniel Espino58.2%32.2%13.2%3000
Sep 20Griffin Jax57.1%41.5%14.5%3000
Sep 19Freddy Peralta60.4%43.7%15.4%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.