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Miguel Amaya

CHC · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Miguel Amaya · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G13.000.000.000.100.2660.0%0.0%0.0%77.493.70.0%0.0%66.7%
Last 15 G711.222.200.556.310.3519.1%0.0%11.8%85.8100.810.0%20.0%50.0%
Last 30 G1424.227.217.364.252.31120.8%0.0%26.2%86.0100.85.3%26.3%47.4%
90 days1526.217.240.348.260.31423.1%3.8%23.9%86.0100.85.3%26.3%47.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 19 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 32%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G413.167.231.417.277.28746.2%0.0%25.0%92.8103.116.7%50.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1438.194.324.323.304.25039.5%10.5%30.0%85.0103.15.9%23.5%23.5%
Last 30 G2878.235.325.382.318.26335.9%7.7%29.0%89.9103.17.3%43.9%46.3%
90 days3187.247.326.390.320.25337.9%6.9%29.5%89.7103.76.7%44.4%44.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 45 balls in play
Ground 27%Line drive 22%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 22%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.154.200.385.253.28437.5%0.0%22.6%87.6103.111.1%33.3%44.4%
Last 15 G1549.200.298.375.305.27132.7%8.2%26.4%85.3103.17.4%22.2%33.3%
Last 30 G30102.233.300.378.303.27432.4%5.9%28.3%88.6103.16.7%38.3%46.7%
90 days33113.240.306.380.307.26734.5%6.2%28.3%88.6103.76.2%39.1%45.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 64 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 25%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 17%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSlider84.496.5-20.119Out
Sep 20RHPSinker93.1103.1-2.391Force out
Sep 20RHPSinker91.090.869.003Out
Sep 15LHPCutter84.091.531.114Out
Sep 15LHPChangeup81.193.726.219Sac fly
Sep 15LHPCurveball76.446.9-53–Sac bunt
Sep 13RHPSinker97.2102.5311.432Home run
Sep 13RHPSlider89.870.225.895Single
Sep 13RHPCurveball84.093.6-9.157Out
Sep 5RHPCurveball77.185.026.176Double
Sep 5RHPSlider86.796.7-7.192Single
Sep 5LHPSinker93.891.4-17.100Force out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23300002
Sep 20400002
Sep 15300000
Sep 13325100
Sep 8300002
Sep 5423000
Sep 2300012
Aug 31511011
Aug 30311001
Aug 25300001
FormNormal
Contact rating18Poor
Last 100 pitches32trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.300 / .279running 20 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.332
Barrel%4.0%
Hard-hit%23.8%
K%27.9%
BB%5.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Miguel Amaya · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Miguel Amaya · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 20 vs Rhett Lowder: 46.6% · no hitSep 23 vs Ryan Gusto: 54.3% · no hitSep 25 vs Alec Gamboa: 54.1% · 1 HSep 20Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 3BTB expected 1.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 3BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeDwOBA .332 · K% 27.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Alec Gamboa54.1%29.8%7.7%4120
Sep 23Ryan Gusto54.3%29.1%9.6%3000
Sep 20Rhett Lowder46.6%32.5%10.0%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.