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Nick Fortes

TB · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Nick Fortes · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.333.400.556.410.30020.0%10.0%37.5%90.0112.70.0%71.4%42.9%
Last 15 G1131.222.300.333.292.24116.1%9.7%20.4%78.1112.70.0%34.8%30.4%
Last 30 G2359.288.362.442.358.31913.6%8.5%20.2%80.8112.72.2%33.3%37.8%
90 days2866.288.354.424.347.29513.6%7.6%19.7%80.2112.72.0%29.4%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 51 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 24%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G23.000.000.000.000.00033.3%0.0%20.0%71.871.80.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G815.214.267.429.346.19020.0%6.7%20.8%90.4100.10.0%44.4%33.3%
Last 30 G2034.250.273.469.344.25514.7%2.9%24.1%82.8105.10.0%30.8%30.8%
90 days2856.264.291.472.343.26416.1%3.6%20.2%84.5105.12.3%34.9%27.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 23%Fly ball 12%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.250.308.417.342.25023.1%7.7%33.3%87.7112.70.0%62.5%37.5%
Last 15 G1546.220.289.366.308.22617.4%8.7%20.5%81.6112.70.0%37.5%31.2%
Last 30 G3093.274.330.452.353.29714.0%6.5%21.5%81.5112.71.4%32.4%35.2%
90 days40122.277.325.446.345.28114.8%5.7%19.9%82.2112.72.1%31.9%30.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 94 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 23%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 22LHPCutter91.297.238.154Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup84.1105.9-28.104Single
Sep 22LHPCutter93.9112.7-1.494Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup76.430.513.273Out
Sep 20LHPFastball92.087.638.023Out
Sep 18LHPCutter87.995.016.636Double
Sep 16LHPFastball91.4101.29.614Double
Sep 16RHPFastball97.471.864.000Out
Sep 15LHPFastball94.985.065.012Out
Sep 13RHPSinker91.999.742.118Out
Sep 13RHPFastball93.485.975.000Out
Sep 13RHPSlider85.297.924.525Home run
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23200001
Sep 22411000
Sep 20300002
Sep 18212010
Sep 16212000
Sep 15100000
Sep 13414110
Sep 10300010
Sep 6411001
Sep 3211001
FormHot
Contact rating28Below average
Last 100 pitches5trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.336 / .294running 43 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.321
Barrel%2.6%
Hard-hit%25.7%
K%17.4%
BB%6.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Nick Fortes · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Nick Fortes · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Ranger Suarez: 51.6% · 1 HSep 20 vs Patrick Sandoval: 50.9% · no hitSep 22 vs Max Fried: 49.8% · 1 HSep 25 vs Cristopher Sánchez: 56.5% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 1.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 3BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .321 · K% 17.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Cristopher Sánchez56.5%27.9%6.4%not settled
Sep 22Max Fried49.8%27.7%7.5%4110
Sep 20Patrick Sandoval50.9%31.8%8.4%3000
Sep 18Ranger Suarez51.6%26.7%6.9%2120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.