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Nick Sogard

BOS · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Nick Sogard · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G311.455.455.545.441.38427.3%0.0%9.1%86.096.50.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G926.231.231.269.221.25630.8%0.0%16.4%89.6102.15.6%27.8%33.3%
Last 30 G1637.333.351.611.408.33824.3%2.7%16.7%90.5105.97.4%44.4%40.7%
90 days2555.308.345.538.378.31727.3%5.5%20.0%89.1105.98.1%43.2%43.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 24%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.100.100.100.090.21940.0%0.0%33.3%81.896.80.0%16.7%50.0%
Last 15 G1334.226.273.387.321.26032.4%2.9%26.3%82.4102.04.8%23.8%52.4%
Last 30 G2788.205.279.321.289.28225.0%8.0%22.2%83.3102.35.3%24.6%47.4%
90 days48171.236.335.340.333.31619.9%12.3%19.1%83.6104.93.5%26.5%39.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 113 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 27%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.286.286.333.274.30533.3%0.0%20.0%84.296.80.0%21.4%50.0%
Last 15 G1560.228.254.333.277.25931.7%1.7%21.4%85.7102.15.1%25.6%43.6%
Last 30 G30125.246.301.412.325.29924.8%6.4%20.3%85.6105.96.0%31.0%45.2%
90 days51226.255.338.393.344.31621.7%10.6%19.4%84.9105.94.7%30.7%40.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 150 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 27%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPChangeup83.383.031.086Out
Sep 24LHPCurveball79.482.916.904Single
Sep 24LHPSlider85.969.640.502Out
Sep 23LHPCutter87.596.52.449Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.895.814.877Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.373.457.041Out
Sep 22LHPFastball95.893.75.458Double
Sep 22RHPSplitter86.380.3-38.051Out
Sep 22LHPFastball95.193.214.904Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup90.281.56.327Out
Sep 20RHPSlider85.972.445.246Out
Sep 19RHPFastball95.196.824.351Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411001
Sep 23422001
Sep 22523002
Sep 20400002
Sep 19411001
Sep 18500002
Sep 17400000
Sep 16211000
Sep 15414101
Sep 13400011
FormCold
Contact rating60Average
Last 100 pitches15trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.332 / .328results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.331
Barrel%3.3%
Hard-hit%21.3%
K%21.9%
BB%9.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Nick Sogard · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Nick Sogard · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Ian Seymour: 55.2% · no hitSep 19 vs Freddy Peralta: 54.5% · 1 HSep 20 vs Griffin Jax: 52.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Parker Messick: 56.1% · 2 HSep 23 vs Foster Griffin: 62.5% · 2 HSep 24 vs Daniel Espino: 58.2% · 1 HSep 25 vs David Peterson: 59.5% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 1.8
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeFwOBA .331 · K% 21.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25David Peterson59.5%30.5%5.5%not settled
Sep 24Daniel Espino58.2%27.6%5.9%4110
Sep 23Foster Griffin62.5%32.9%6.9%4220
Sep 22Parker Messick56.1%29.8%6.9%5230
Sep 20Griffin Jax52.2%29.2%7.8%4000
Sep 19Freddy Peralta54.5%31.0%8.9%4110
Sep 18Ian Seymour55.2%27.6%9.3%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.