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Patrick Bailey
CLE · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handPatrick Bailey · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 14 | .154 | .214 | .154 | .179 | .217 | 50.0% | 7.1% | 40.0% | 89.2 | 101.7 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 38 | .324 | .378 | .441 | .369 | .348 | 31.6% | 5.3% | 29.7% | 84.9 | 109.5 | 8.7% | 39.1% | 56.5% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 85 | .267 | .345 | .413 | .343 | .350 | 30.6% | 9.4% | 24.8% | 87.3 | 109.5 | 8.2% | 40.8% | 55.1% |
| 90 days | 47 | 141 | .254 | .317 | .429 | .330 | .334 | 27.7% | 7.8% | 25.5% | 88.4 | 109.5 | 9.0% | 43.8% | 41.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 89 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 29%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 10%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 1 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 94.1 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 13 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .178 | 38.5% | 0.0% | 17.2% | 94.9 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 62.5% | 25.0% |
| Last 30 G | 15 | 22 | .105 | .227 | .158 | .193 | .312 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 97.8 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 78.6% | 28.6% |
| 90 days | 22 | 29 | .130 | .250 | .174 | .216 | .308 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 92.2 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 61.1% | 38.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 18 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 28%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 11%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .125 | .176 | .125 | .147 | .248 | 41.2% | 5.9% | 32.3% | 90.9 | 107.7 | 0.0% | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 51 | .234 | .280 | .319 | .273 | .304 | 33.3% | 3.9% | 25.8% | 87.5 | 109.5 | 6.5% | 45.2% | 48.4% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 107 | .234 | .321 | .362 | .312 | .342 | 29.0% | 10.3% | 23.7% | 89.6 | 109.5 | 6.3% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| 90 days | 49 | 170 | .235 | .305 | .389 | .311 | .329 | 27.1% | 8.8% | 24.6% | 89.1 | 109.5 | 7.5% | 46.7% | 41.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 107 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 29%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 10%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | LHP | Fastball | 91.4 | 101.5 | 40 | .376 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Curveball | 75.3 | 73.2 | -4 | .057 | Force out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Sinker | 97.7 | 107.7 | 14 | .750 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 84.7 | 101.7 | 10 | .802 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 90.0 | 68.3 | 24 | .870 | Single |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Curveball | 80.0 | 100.2 | 17 | .542 | Single |
| Sep 15 | RHP | Curveball | 83.6 | 78.2 | -37 | .039 | Out |
| Sep 15 | RHP | Changeup | 89.3 | 89.8 | -21 | .082 | Out |
| Sep 15 | RHP | Cutter | 89.6 | 97.3 | 48 | .005 | Out |
| Sep 14 | RHP | Slider | 85.0 | 109.5 | 18 | .998 | Single |
| Sep 14 | RHP | Changeup | 80.3 | 51.7 | -66 | .185 | Out |
| Sep 13 | RHP | Sinker | 92.6 | 92.1 | 29 | .116 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FormCold
Contact rating65Above average
Last 100 pitches11trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.302 / .331running 29 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.296
Barrel%4.2%
Hard-hit%27.5%
K%27.4%
BB%8.0%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA68.329
Avg EV6389.1
Max EV49109.5
Barrel%597.5%
Hard-hit%8446.7%
Sweet-spot%8841.1%
K%2127.1%
BB%558.8%
Whiff%3424.6%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
4 settled gamesGames with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.0
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeDwOBA .296 · K% 27.4%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Ranger Suarez | 53.8% | 25.5% | 7.0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Sonny Gray | 54.9% | 29.8% | 7.6% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Jack Perkins | 44.0% | 28.9% | 8.6% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Mason Barnett | 47.4% | 29.1% | 8.9% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |