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Paul Goldschmidt

NYY · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Paul Goldschmidt · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.111.200.222.195.23310.0%10.0%20.0%82.899.80.0%25.0%12.5%
Last 15 G1531.269.355.538.376.3819.7%12.9%13.6%88.1107.212.5%37.5%33.3%
Last 30 G2962.235.355.451.352.37012.9%16.1%18.9%88.0107.29.1%31.8%36.4%
90 days4286.192.302.342.301.31719.8%14.0%20.8%86.1107.28.8%28.1%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 14%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.667.667.833.658.3700.0%0.0%25.0%89.7101.30.0%33.3%50.0%
Last 15 G915.400.400.467.383.32726.7%0.0%31.4%87.4101.30.0%27.3%54.5%
Last 30 G1935.286.286.314.293.24231.4%0.0%32.9%86.6101.34.2%33.3%33.3%
90 days3269.206.217.279.245.22634.8%1.4%32.9%86.0103.24.5%31.8%43.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 44 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 16%Fly ball 39%Pop-up 2%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.333.375.467.369.2846.2%6.2%22.2%85.8101.30.0%28.6%28.6%
Last 15 G1546.317.370.512.378.36315.2%8.7%20.2%87.9107.28.6%34.3%40.0%
Last 30 G3097.256.330.395.331.32319.6%10.3%24.3%87.5107.27.4%32.4%35.3%
90 days47155.199.265.312.276.27626.5%8.4%26.5%86.1107.26.9%29.7%37.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 101 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 15%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPChangeup83.079.11.171Out
Sep 24RHPFastball100.1101.316.632Single
Sep 24RHPCutter90.192.0-8.195Double
Sep 22LHPFastball95.883.9-2.135Out
Sep 18LHPCutter89.482.243.012Out
Sep 18RHPSlider89.593.545.006Out
Sep 18LHPCurveball77.379.769.003Out
Sep 18RHPFastball90.688.0-2.204Single
Sep 16RHPCutter93.067.027.889Single
Sep 16LHPCutter90.599.644.099Out
Sep 12LHPCutter90.469.7-60.259Out
Sep 12LHPSweeper80.399.810.754Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24423001
Sep 22100000
Sep 18511010
Sep 16211000
Sep 12412000
Sep 6100010
Sep 5511011
Sep 4100001
Sep 2322000
Sep 1100000
FormNormal
Contact rating28Below average
Last 100 pitches51trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.267 / .292running 25 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.304
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%23.6%
K%24.2%
BB%7.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Paul Goldschmidt · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Paul Goldschmidt · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Eduardo Rodriguez: 58.4% · 1 HSep 24 vs Ian Seymour: 58.1% · 2 HSep 25 vs Trevor Rogers: 64.9% · no hitSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 1.8
Games with 2+ TB1 of 3BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeDwOBA .304 · K% 24.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Trevor Rogers64.9%40.1%14.4%5000
Sep 24Ian Seymour58.1%32.1%14.5%4230
Sep 18Eduardo Rodriguez58.4%36.5%11.7%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.