Riley Greene

DET · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 26 · 12:10 PM CTvs TBD PIT @ DET1+ hit 63.3%2+ TB 43.9%HR 21.9%Sep 25 · 5:40 PM CTvs Bubba Chandler RHPPIT @ DET1+ hit 63.8%2+ TB 44.2%HR 22.3%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand

Riley Greene · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	13	.300	.462	.400	.396	.361	23.1%	23.1%	28.0%	85.7	109.2	14.3%	14.3%	42.9%
Last 15 G	15	46	.341	.413	.463	.389	.337	23.9%	10.9%	25.8%	87.4	111.5	10.0%	33.3%	46.7%
Last 30 G	30	93	.259	.355	.407	.341	.327	31.2%	10.8%	31.8%	84.9	111.5	11.5%	30.8%	50.0%
90 days	53	161	.285	.373	.547	.398	.407	27.3%	11.8%	30.8%	88.0	111.5	19.8%	43.8%	47.9%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 96 balls in play

Ground 31%Line drive 26%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 7%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	9	.143	.333	.571	.378	.423	11.1%	11.1%	26.7%	75.7	108.9	16.7%	16.7%	33.3%
Last 15 G	13	18	.333	.444	.867	.528	.556	11.1%	11.1%	21.9%	83.9	111.4	23.1%	30.8%	38.5%
Last 30 G	23	38	.333	.421	.788	.520	.495	13.2%	10.5%	20.0%	86.0	111.4	17.9%	28.6%	42.9%
90 days	46	75	.250	.320	.529	.373	.401	21.3%	8.0%	21.5%	87.2	111.4	13.5%	34.6%	42.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play

Ground 33%Line drive 25%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 10%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	22	.235	.409	.471	.389	.386	18.2%	18.2%	27.5%	81.1	109.2	15.4%	15.4%	38.5%
Last 15 G	15	64	.339	.422	.571	.428	.398	20.3%	10.9%	24.8%	86.3	111.5	14.0%	32.6%	44.2%
Last 30 G	30	131	.281	.374	.518	.393	.377	26.0%	10.7%	28.3%	85.3	111.5	13.8%	30.0%	47.5%
90 days	55	236	.273	.356	.541	.390	.405	25.4%	10.6%	27.7%	87.7	111.5	17.6%	40.5%	45.9%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play

Ground 32%Line drive 26%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 23	RHP	Slider	91.9	82.6	51	.038	Out
Sep 23	LHP	Changeup	77.5	93.0	26	.224	Out
Sep 23	LHP	Sinker	89.2	75.8	-16	.047	Out
Sep 21	LHP	Fastball	92.2	65.6	80	.000	Out
Sep 21	LHP	Changeup	82.4	49.7	-18	.088	Out
Sep 20	RHP	Fastball	94.2	86.1	54	.018	Out
Sep 20	RHP	Fastball	92.4	109.2	20	1.347	Double
Sep 20	LHP	Fastball	92.4	61.2	8	.117	Out
Sep 19	RHP	Fastball	93.1	80.5	27	.227	Single
Sep 19	RHP	Fastball	94.4	89.8	6	.444	Single
Sep 19	RHP	Curveball	75.7	71.1	10	.249	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Cutter	92.1	80.5	6	.272	Out

Total bases, last 10 games★ home run

5★13

214

115

116

117

4★18

219

220

021

023

Last 10 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	HR	BB	K
Sep 23	5	0	0	0	2	0
Sep 21	4	0	0	0	1	1
Sep 20	4	1	2	0	0	1
Sep 19	4	2	2	0	0	0
Sep 18	5	1	4	1	1	2
Sep 17	4	1	1	0	0	2
Sep 16	4	1	1	0	0	0
Sep 15	4	1	1	0	1	1
Sep 14	5	2	2	0	0	1
Sep 13	4	2	5	1	0	1

FormNormal

Contact rating99Elite

Last 100 pitches89trending down

wOBA / xwOBA.389 / .412running 23 points behind his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit10/12

2+ total bases7/12

Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent

Talent grade—— type

wOBA–

Barrel%–

Hard-hit%–

K%–

BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Riley Greene · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

xwOBA98.405

Avg EV4587.7

Max EV76111.5

Barrel%9917.6%

Hard-hit%5940.5%

Sweet-spot%9845.9%

K%3125.4%

BB%7610.6%

Whiff%1827.7%

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Riley Greene · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled

Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games

Games with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 1.8

Games with 2+ TB3 of 3BTB expected 1.5

Games with a HR1 of 3BTB expected 0.6

Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.
Date	Facing	1+ hit	2+ TB	HR	PA	H	TB	HR
Sep 25	Bubba Chandler	60.5%	39.9%	19.0%	not settled
Sep 20	Davis Martin	63.4%	54.1%	21.7%	4	1	2	0
Sep 19	Sean Burke	57.9%	47.5%	21.7%	4	2	2	0
Sep 18	David Sandlin	59.3%	43.8%	20.5%	5	1	4	1