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Roman Anthony

BOS · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Roman Anthony · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.308.308.615.388.32423.1%0.0%23.8%92.4108.710.0%40.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1435.182.229.303.236.29317.1%5.7%22.6%86.5109.47.4%25.9%22.2%
Last 30 G1839.189.231.297.235.29417.9%5.1%23.7%86.6109.46.7%26.7%23.3%
90 days1839.189.231.297.235.29417.9%5.1%23.7%86.6109.46.7%26.7%23.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 70%Line drive 13%Fly ball 10%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.222.222.333.239.18833.3%0.0%25.0%87.3102.80.0%33.3%16.7%
Last 15 G1133.226.273.355.277.27442.4%6.1%29.4%94.4113.611.8%52.9%41.2%
Last 30 G1863.276.333.517.379.33834.9%7.9%25.0%95.0113.616.7%61.1%50.0%
90 days1863.276.333.517.379.33834.9%7.9%25.0%95.0113.616.7%61.1%50.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 22%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.273.273.500.327.26927.3%0.0%24.2%90.5108.76.2%37.5%18.8%
Last 15 G1568.203.250.328.256.28429.4%5.9%26.0%89.5113.69.1%36.4%29.5%
Last 30 G22102.242.294.432.324.32128.4%6.9%24.5%91.2113.612.1%45.5%37.9%
90 days22102.242.294.432.324.32128.4%6.9%24.5%91.2113.612.1%45.5%37.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 18%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 3%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSinker90.9101.9-14.192Out
Sep 23LHPSinker91.970.733.609Single
Sep 23LHPCutter88.775.0-10.055Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.2104.9-12.272Out
Sep 22LHPFastball94.882.1-29.038Double play
Sep 22RHPSplitter83.965.4-53.256Out
Sep 20RHPCurveball84.892.2-12.157Out
Sep 20LHPSinker94.894.9-33.066Double
Sep 20RHPSweeper85.5100.3-5.295Single
Sep 19RHPChangeup89.868.5-15.050Out
Sep 19RHPCurveball83.2102.813.904Double
Sep 19LHPSweeper83.887.92.284Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411001
Sep 22500002
Sep 20423001
Sep 19412001
Sep 18525101
Sep 17500010
Sep 16400011
Sep 15511002
Sep 13411000
Sep 12422001
FormCold
Contact rating60Average
Last 100 pitches10trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.317 / .327results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeABalanced type
wOBA.356
Barrel%7.8%
Hard-hit%31.1%
K%27.1%
BB%10.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Roman Anthony · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Roman Anthony · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Ian Seymour: 51.7% · 2 HSep 19 vs Freddy Peralta: 57.3% · 1 HSep 20 vs Griffin Jax: 55.6% · 2 HSep 22 vs Parker Messick: 57.8% · no hitSep 23 vs Foster Griffin: 63.1% · 1 HSep 25 vs David Peterson: 59.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB3 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .356 · K% 27.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25David Peterson59.4%31.8%8.1%not settled
Sep 23Foster Griffin63.1%35.6%10.8%4110
Sep 22Parker Messick57.8%32.9%10.1%5000
Sep 20Griffin Jax55.6%37.2%13.7%4230
Sep 19Freddy Peralta57.3%39.3%14.8%4120
Sep 18Ian Seymour51.7%28.5%11.9%5251
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.