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Ryan Vilade

TB · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Ryan Vilade · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.000.091.000.145.23445.5%9.1%37.5%101.0108.520.0%80.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1017.000.176.000.176.25047.1%17.6%31.8%96.7108.516.7%66.7%16.7%
Last 30 G1934.138.265.241.268.31732.4%14.7%24.1%86.4108.511.1%38.9%22.2%
90 days2547.100.234.175.223.29231.9%12.8%26.7%84.9108.58.0%32.0%32.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 16%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G310.143.400.143.411.44610.0%20.0%18.8%72.795.70.0%20.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1131.250.419.333.390.42719.4%16.1%24.1%86.5105.45.9%41.2%29.4%
Last 30 G2253.289.396.422.389.45020.8%11.3%23.3%91.8113.09.1%54.5%30.3%
90 days3684.270.357.527.394.39925.0%9.5%22.8%91.9113.011.5%50.0%32.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 23%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.059.238.059.265.32928.6%14.3%28.1%86.8108.510.0%50.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1548.158.333.211.313.36329.2%16.7%26.2%89.2108.58.7%47.8%26.1%
Last 30 G3087.230.345.351.341.39725.3%12.6%23.6%89.9113.09.8%49.0%27.5%
90 days44131.211.313.404.332.36027.5%10.7%24.0%89.6113.010.4%44.2%32.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 77 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 21%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball94.8100.7-9.293Force out
Sep 23RHPSlider90.099.931.864Out
Sep 23RHPSplitter92.2108.5-14.238Out
Sep 23RHPSinker92.3103.6-4.392Error
Sep 22LHPCurveball74.095.7-12.171Out
Sep 22RHPSinker94.192.2-23.091Out
Sep 20LHPSweeper80.450.01.130Out
Sep 20LHPSlider83.972.534.342Out
Sep 18LHPSinker89.768.327.896Single
Sep 18LHPCurveball77.077.112.347Out
Sep 16LHPCurveball78.696.313.907Single
Sep 16LHPFastball92.2103.350.024Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400012
Sep 23400001
Sep 22400010
Sep 20400001
Sep 18511012
Sep 17300011
Sep 16411002
Sep 13100001
Sep 12100010
Sep 10411002
FormNormal
Contact rating88Excellent
Last 100 pitches61trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.325 / .362running 37 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases0/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Ryan Vilade · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Ryan Vilade · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Ranger Suarez: 46.6% · 1 HSep 20 vs Patrick Sandoval: 48.5% · no hitSep 22 vs Max Fried: 46.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Gerrit Cole: 54.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Cam Schlittler: 49.7% · no hitSep 25 vs Cristopher Sánchez: 57.6% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 5BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB0 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Cristopher Sánchez57.6%33.6%11.0%not settled
Sep 24Cam Schlittler49.7%25.2%11.0%4000
Sep 23Gerrit Cole54.3%33.5%13.4%4000
Sep 22Max Fried46.1%31.4%12.4%4000
Sep 20Patrick Sandoval48.5%38.2%14.2%4000
Sep 18Ranger Suarez46.6%30.6%12.3%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.