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Salvador Perez

KC · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Salvador Perez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G311.400.455.700.491.41727.3%9.1%22.2%94.3110.114.3%57.1%42.9%
Last 15 G1138.270.289.378.293.34721.1%2.6%29.6%92.0110.110.3%51.7%41.4%
Last 30 G2688.262.295.440.333.36717.0%3.4%26.1%89.9111.313.2%47.1%38.2%
90 days64205.250.299.441.332.35018.0%4.4%25.1%89.0111.310.5%42.8%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.200.200.200.180.50440.0%0.0%30.8%92.0106.533.3%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1017.200.294.200.238.39417.6%11.8%20.6%92.9108.68.3%41.7%41.7%
Last 30 G1831.276.323.345.300.38522.6%6.5%20.6%90.0108.69.1%40.9%40.9%
90 days4188.284.322.407.334.35221.6%3.4%20.9%91.2109.211.1%50.8%41.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 63 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.333.375.533.394.44531.2%6.2%25.0%93.6110.120.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1555.250.291.327.277.36120.0%5.5%27.0%92.3110.19.8%48.8%41.5%
Last 30 G30119.265.303.416.324.37218.5%4.2%24.6%89.9111.312.2%45.6%38.9%
90 days72293.260.306.431.332.35019.1%4.1%23.8%89.7111.310.7%45.1%39.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 215 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 22%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCutter90.483.4-21.049Out
Sep 24RHPFastball95.1110.1201.421Home run
Sep 23RHPSinker96.095.78.544Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper83.6106.5231.588Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.566.1-36.052Out
Sep 22LHPCutter91.778.520.898Single
Sep 22LHPSweeper83.391.138.036Out
Sep 20RHPSinker97.4109.5-1.466Out
Sep 20RHPSlider90.2103.81.456Single
Sep 20RHPSinker94.291.315.906Single
Sep 18RHPSweeper83.581.073.000Out
Sep 18LHPSlider82.7100.039.373Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24414111
Sep 23411001
Sep 22311001
Sep 20422001
Sep 19100001
Sep 18400002
Sep 17300000
Sep 16500001
Sep 15111000
Sep 13400001
FormNormal
Contact rating93Top tier
Last 100 pitches96steady
wOBA / xwOBA.330 / .373running 42 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.328
Barrel%8.2%
Hard-hit%33.0%
K%19.3%
BB%4.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Salvador Perez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Salvador Perez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Paul Skenes: 63.3% · no hitSep 20 vs Lake Bachar: 64.7% · 2 HSep 22 vs Anthony Kay: 65.4% · 1 HSep 23 vs Bryan Hudson: 68.9% · 1 HSep 24 vs David Sandlin: 64.2% · 1 HSep 25 vs Gavin Williams: 63.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 3.3
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.9
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeBwOBA .328 · K% 19.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Gavin Williams63.8%36.6%12.0%not settled
Sep 24David Sandlin64.2%32.5%12.4%4141
Sep 23Bryan Hudson68.9%40.3%13.9%4110
Sep 22Anthony Kay65.4%38.9%13.7%3110
Sep 20Lake Bachar64.7%42.2%11.5%4220
Sep 18Paul Skenes63.3%31.2%10.5%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.